Losses and LAE |
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| Insurance Loss Reserves [Abstract] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Losses and LAE | 11. Losses and LAE Our reserve for losses and LAE consists of the following as of the dates indicated.
N/A – Not applicable Our provision for losses consists of the following for the periods indicated.
N/A – Not applicable (1) Includes Inigo results from the Closing Date of the acquisition through June 30, 2026. (2) Represents positive amortization of the VOBA intangible asset attributable to reserves. Mortgage For the periods indicated, the following table presents information relating to our mortgage insurance reserve for losses, including IBNR reserves and LAE.
(1) Related to ceded losses recoverable, if any, on ceded reinsurance transactions. See Note 8 for additional information. (2) Related to underlying defaulted loans with a most recent default notice dated in the year indicated. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year, but then subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, that default would be considered a current year default. Reserve Activity Incurred Losses Total incurred losses in our Mortgage segment are driven by: (i) case reserves established for new default notices, which are primarily impacted by both the number of new primary default notices received in the period and our related gross Default to Claim Rate and Claim Severity assumptions applied to those new defaults and (ii) reserve developments on prior period defaults, which are primarily impacted by changes to our prior Default to Claim Rate and Claim Severity assumptions applied to these loans. New primary default notices totaled 25,957 for the six months ended June 30, 2026, compared to 23,972 for the six months ended June 30, 2025, representing an increase of 8%. Our gross Default to Claim Rate assumption applied to new defaults was 7.5% as of both June 30, 2026, and June 30, 2025, based on our review of trends in Cures and claims paid for our default inventory and taking into consideration the risks and uncertainties associated with the current economic environment. Our provision for losses during the first six months of both 2026 and 2025 was positively impacted by favorable reserve development on prior year defaults, primarily as a result of Cure trends that were more favorable than originally estimated, and which resulted in reductions in certain of our prior year Default to Claim Rate assumptions in the first six months of both 2026 and 2025. Claims Paid Total claims paid increased for the six months ended June 30, 2026, compared to the same period in 2025, consistent with both the growth and seasoning of our IIF and our reserving expectations. For additional information about our Reserve for Losses and LAE, including our accounting policies, see Notes 2 and 11 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements in our 2025 Form 10-K. Specialty For the period indicated, the following table presents information relating to our specialty insurance reserve for losses, including IBNR reserves and LAE.
(1) Acquisition-date fair value adjustment includes the VOBA reserves intangible asset related to Inigo’s acquired net reserve for losses. (2) Related to ceded losses recoverable, if any, on ceded reinsurance transactions. See Note 8 for additional information. (3) Foreign exchange (gains) losses are related to foreign currency denominated loss reserves associated with international insurance exposures in the Specialty segment. Foreign exchange (gains) losses on foreign currency denominated loss reserves are reflected through net income (loss) as a component of net gains (losses) on financial instruments and foreign exchange in the condensed consolidated statements of operations. Our specialty insurance loss reserves represent management’s estimate of the ultimate cost of settling all claims incurred but unpaid at the balance sheet date, whether reported or not. Estimating loss reserves is a complex and inherently judgmental process due to the uncertainty in the amount and timing of claim payments, particularly for claims that have been incurred but not yet reported to Inigo. Loss reserves are comprised of the following components. ▪ case reserves, representing estimates for reported claims that have not yet been paid; ▪ IBNR reserves, representing estimates for claims incurred but not yet reported; and ▪ LAE reserves, which include internal and external costs associated with settling claims, such as legal and other professional fees and claims administration expenses. Case reserves are established on an individual claim basis for reported claims not yet settled as of the balance sheet date, taking into consideration available information regarding claim circumstances, handling costs and observed settlement trends. The estimated cost of unpaid claims is calculated using a variety of actuarial and statistical estimation techniques based primarily on historical loss experience, which assume that future claims development patterns will be consistent with past experience. Adjustments are made, as necessary, to reflect factors that may not be fully captured in the historical data, including changes in claims handling procedures, legal or regulatory environments, inflationary pressures, the impact of large losses and relevant industry trends. IBNR reserves are determined using actuarial techniques that project the development of claims over time based on historical experience, taking into consideration recent underwriting activity, changes in the mix of business and underlying policy terms and conditions. For more recent accident periods, where claims development may be more volatile, estimates may incorporate additional reliance on actuarial judgment, rating models and assessments of current underwriting conditions. Large losses are analyzed separately, when appropriate, to mitigate potential distortions in underlying reserve development patterns. Loss reserves are based on information available as of the balance sheet date and are intended to represent management’s best estimate of ultimate claims settlement costs within a reasonable range of possible outcomes. Anticipated salvage and subrogation recoveries are estimated on an individual claim basis based on currently available information, including claims experience and applicable legal considerations, and are reported as reductions to loss reserves. LAE reserves represent the estimated internal and external costs of investigating, managing and settling claims incurred by the Company, whether reported or not. These costs include allocated expenses directly attributable to individual claims, such as legal, loss adjuster, expert and other professional fees and unallocated claims handling costs, including the relevant costs of the claims function and related administration. LAE reserves are included within reserve for losses and LAE on our condensed consolidated balance sheets and are estimated consistently with the underlying provisions for notified claims and IBNR. Reserve Activity Incurred Losses Loss and LAE reserves, net of reinsurance recoverables, increased $127 million from the Closing Date to June 30, 2026, driven primarily by current year incurred losses and the acquisition-date fair value reserves adjustment for VOBA, partly offset by paid claims and favorable prior year development. Net incurred losses for the period from the Closing Date to June 30, 2026, were $256 million excluding the amortization of the VOBA intangible asset attributable to reserves of $6 million, comprising $292 million of current accident year losses, partially offset by favorable prior year development of $37 million. Prior year development was favorable in aggregate across most lines of business driven primarily by claims emergence that was better than previously expected. These favorable developments were partly offset by adverse development on certain large losses, primarily within general liability lines. The current accident year loss experience benefited from relatively benign catastrophe activity during the period. This benefit was partially offset by losses arising from the Middle East conflict. Claims Paid Net paid losses and LAE of $118 million during the period from the Closing Date to June 30, 2026 primarily reflect settlement activity on prior accident year claims, including catastrophe and large loss settlements. |
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