v3.26.1
Loans
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2026
Receivables [Abstract]  
Loans
Loans
Loans includes (i) loans held for investment that are accounted for at amortized cost net of allowance for loan losses or at fair value under the fair value option and (ii) loans held for sale that are accounted for at the lower of cost or fair value. Interest on loans is recognized over the life of the loan and is recorded on an accrual basis.
The table below presents information about loans.
$ in millionsAmortized
Cost
Fair ValueHeld For SaleTotal
As of June 2026
Loan Type
Corporate$33,663 $615 $1,286 $35,564 
Commercial real estate39,377 408 524 40,309 
Residential real estate32,438 3,104  35,542 
Securities-based
19,110   19,110 
Other collateralized
105,809 487 2,695 108,991 
Credit cards  19,506 19,506 
Other3,994 26 34 4,054 
Total loans, gross234,391 4,640 24,045 263,076 
Allowance for loan losses(2,188)  (2,188)
Total loans$232,203 $4,640 $24,045 $260,888 
As of December 2025
Loan Type
Corporate$29,432 $326 $918 $30,676 
Commercial real estate36,261 420 728 37,409 
Residential real estate28,700 3,257 – 31,957 
Securities-based
18,079 – – 18,079 
Other collateralized
97,519 855 625 98,999 
Credit cards– – 19,742 19,742 
Other2,920 47 53 3,020 
Total loans, gross212,911 4,905 22,066 239,882 
Allowance for loan losses(2,148)– – (2,148)
Total loans$210,763 $4,905 $22,066 $237,734 
In the table above:
Loans held for investment that are accounted for at amortized cost include net deferred fees and costs, and unamortized premiums and discounts, which are amortized over the life of the loan. These amounts were less than 1% of loans accounted for at amortized cost as of both June 2026 and December 2025.
Substantially all loans had floating interest rates as of both June 2026 and December 2025.
During 2025, the firm transferred the Apple Card loan portfolio to held for sale.
The following is a description of the loan types in the table above:
Corporate. Corporate loans includes term loans, revolving lines of credit, letter of credit facilities and bridge loans, and are principally used for operating and general corporate purposes, or in connection with acquisitions. Corporate loans are secured (typically by a senior lien on the assets of the borrower) or unsecured, depending on the loan purpose, the risk profile of the borrower and other factors.
Commercial Real Estate. Commercial real estate loans includes originated loans that are directly or indirectly secured by hotels, retail stores, multifamily housing complexes and commercial and industrial properties. Commercial real estate loans also includes loans extended to clients who warehouse assets that are directly or indirectly backed by commercial real estate. In addition, commercial real estate includes loans purchased by the firm.
Residential Real Estate. Residential real estate loans primarily includes loans extended to wealth management clients and to clients who warehouse assets that are directly or indirectly secured by residential real estate. In addition, residential real estate includes loans purchased by the firm.
Securities-Based. Securities-based loans includes loans that are secured by stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and exchange-traded funds. These loans are primarily extended to the firm’s wealth management clients and used for purposes other than purchasing, carrying or trading margin stocks. Securities-based loans require borrowers to post additional collateral on a daily basis (daily margin requirement) based on changes in the underlying collateral’s fair value.
Other Collateralized. Other collateralized loans includes loans that are backed by specific collateral (other than securities-based loans where there is a daily margin requirement and real estate loans). Such loans include loans to investment funds (managed by third parties) that are collateralized by capital commitments of the funds’ investors or assets held by the fund. Other collateralized loans also includes loans extended to clients who warehouse assets (that are directly or indirectly secured by corporate loans, consumer loans and other assets), as well as other secured loans extended to the firm’s wealth management and corporate clients.





Credit Cards. Credit card loans are loans made pursuant to revolving lines of credit issued to consumers by the firm.
Other. Other loans primarily includes unsecured loans extended to wealth management clients and unsecured consumer loans purchased by the firm.
See Note 4 for an overview of the firm’s fair value measurement policies, valuation techniques and significant inputs used to determine the fair value of loans, and Note 5 for information about loans within the fair value hierarchy.
Credit Quality
Risk Assessment. The firm’s risk assessment process includes evaluating the credit quality of its loans by Risk. For corporate loans and a majority of securities-based, real estate, other collateralized and other loans, the firm performs credit analyses which incorporate initial and ongoing evaluations of the capacity and willingness of a borrower to meet its financial obligations. These credit evaluations are performed on an annual basis or more frequently if deemed necessary as a result of events or changes in circumstances. The firm determines an internal credit rating for the borrower by considering the results of the credit evaluations and assumptions with respect to the nature of and outlook for the borrower’s industry and the economic environment. For collateralized loans, the firm also takes into consideration collateral received or other credit support arrangements when determining an internal credit rating. For loans that are not assigned an internal credit rating, including credit card loans and U.S. residential mortgage loans extended to wealth management clients, the firm reviews certain key metrics, including, but not limited to, the Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) credit scores, loan-to-value ratios, delinquency status, collateral value and other risk factors. In the first quarter of 2026, the firm began assessing the credit quality of all securities-based loans extended to Goldman Sachs Private Bank Select clients using an internal credit rating, as the firm believes that this metric better reflects the credit quality of such loans. The impact of applying this methodology as of December 2025 would have been an increase in loans classified as investment-grade and a decrease in loans classified as other metrics, each by $4.54 billion.
The table below presents gross loans by an internally determined public rating agency equivalent or other credit metrics and the concentration of secured and unsecured loans.
$ in millions
Investment-Grade
Non-Investment- GradeOther Metrics/UnratedTotal
As of June 2026
Accounting Method
Amortized cost$173,324 $48,950 $12,117 $234,391 
Fair value989 606 3,045 4,640 
Held for sale1,775 2,730 19,540 24,045 
Total$176,088 $52,286 $34,702 $263,076 
Loan Type
Corporate$12,172 $23,357 $35 $35,564 
Real estate:
Commercial29,852 10,357 100 40,309 
Residential18,444 2,615 14,483 35,542 
Securities-based
18,275 809 26 19,110 
Other collateralized
93,906 14,558 527 108,991 
Credit cards  19,506 19,506 
Other3,439 590 25 4,054 
Total$176,088 $52,286 $34,702 $263,076 
Secured93%88%43%86%
Unsecured7%12%57%14%
Total100%100%100%100%
As of December 2025
Accounting Method
Amortized cost$149,682 $47,675 $15,554 $212,911 
Fair value595 1,025 3,285 4,905 
Held for sale695 1,578 19,793 22,066 
Total$150,972 $50,278 $38,632 $239,882 
Loan Type
Corporate$9,243 $21,432 $$30,676 
Real estate:
Commercial25,529 11,763 117 37,409 
Residential16,190 2,262 13,505 31,957 
Securities-based
13,130 343 4,606 18,079 
Other collateralized
84,179 14,231 589 98,999 
Credit cards– – 19,742 19,742 
Other2,701 247 72 3,020 
Total$150,972 $50,278 $38,632 $239,882 
Secured94%90%49%86%
Unsecured6%10%51%14%
Total100%100%100%100%

In the table above:
Substantially all residential real estate loans included in the other metrics/unrated category consists of loans extended to wealth management clients. As of both June 2026 and December 2025, substantially all such loans had a loan-to-value ratio of less than 80% and were performing in accordance with the contractual terms. Additionally, as of both June 2026 and December 2025, the vast majority of such loans had a FICO credit score of greater than 740.
The vast majority of securities-based loans included in the other metrics/unrated category as of December 2025 had a loan-to-value ratio of less than 80% and were performing in accordance with the contractual terms.
For credit card loans included in the other metrics/unrated category, the evaluation of credit quality incorporates the borrower’s FICO credit score. During 2025, the firm transferred the Apple Card loan portfolio to held for sale.
The firm also assigns a regulatory risk rating to its loans based on the definitions provided by the U.S. federal bank regulatory agencies. Total loans included 96% of loans as of June 2026 and 95% of loans as of December 2025 that were rated pass/non-criticized.




Vintage. The tables below present gross loans accounted for at amortized cost by an internally determined public rating agency equivalent or other credit metrics and origination year for term loans.
As of June 2026
$ in millionsInvestment-
 Grade
Non-Investment-
 Grade
 Other Metrics/
 Unrated
Total
2026$1,459 $2,475 $ $3,934 
20252,348 2,613  4,961 
20241,088 1,429  2,517 
2023702 645  1,347 
2022471 703  1,174 
2021 or earlier472 2,732  3,204 
Revolving5,191 11,229 19 16,439 
Revolving converted to term 87  87 
Corporate11,731 21,913 19 33,663 
20263,081 1,420 40 4,541 
20254,292 1,926 48 6,266 
20243,086 847  3,933 
2023945 358  1,303 
2022777 895  1,672 
2021 or earlier1,445 2,076 11 3,532 
Revolving15,756 2,129  17,885 
Revolving converted to term175 70  245 
Commercial real estate29,557 9,721 99 39,377 
20262,239 700 1,568 4,507 
20251,233 265 2,867 4,365 
202451 31 1,234 1,316 
202368  1,004 1,072 
202285 41 2,258 2,384 
2021 or earlier9 86 2,589 2,684 
Revolving14,631 1,479  16,110 
Residential real estate18,316 2,602 11,520 32,438 
202610 363  373 
20255   5 
20241,212 113  1,325 
20238   8 
20225   5 
Revolving17,035 333 26 17,394 
Securities-based 18,275 809 26 19,110 
20266,708 2,398 52 9,158 
202510,600 3,804 132 14,536 
20243,330 1,808 66 5,204 
20231,620 747 81 2,448 
2022426 95 18 539 
2021 or earlier1,019 82 83 1,184 
Revolving67,958 4,360 21 72,339 
Revolving converted to term377 24  401 
Other collateralized 92,038 13,318 453 105,809 
20261,146 185  1,331 
2025477 63  540 
202450 31  81 
202380   80 
202216 1  17 
2021 or earlier27 3  30 
Revolving1,611 304  1,915 
Other3,407 587  3,994 
Total$173,324 $48,950 $12,117 $234,391 
Percentage of total74%21%5%100%
As of December 2025
$ in millionsInvestment-
 Grade
Non-Investment-
 Grade
Other Metrics/
 Unrated
Total
2025$2,153 $3,840 $– $5,993 
2024623 1,645 – 2,268 
2023705 723 – 1,428 
2022680 838 – 1,518 
202175 1,756 – 1,831 
2020 or earlier477 1,529 – 2,006 
Revolving4,419 9,881 14,301 
Revolving converted to term– 87 – 87 
Corporate9,132 20,299 29,432 
20253,452 2,866 88 6,406 
20243,653 1,058 – 4,711 
2023993 545 28 1,566 
2022858 1,225 2,084 
2021390 1,730 – 2,120 
2020 or earlier851 1,272 – 2,123 
Revolving14,440 2,523 – 16,963 
Revolving converted to term185 103 – 288 
Commercial real estate24,822 11,322 117 36,261 
20251,242 274 2,692 4,208 
202489 38 1,434 1,561 
202390 – 1,155 1,245 
202286 41 2,367 2,494 
202115 74 2,453 2,542 
2020 or earlier– 19 307 326 
Revolving14,624 1,700 – 16,324 
Residential real estate16,146 2,146 10,408 28,700 
2025– – 
20241,750 38 – 1,788 
202338 – – 38 
2022– – 
Revolving11,332 305 4,606 16,243 
Securities-based
13,130 343 4,606 18,079 
202510,064 4,475 135 14,674 
20244,158 1,881 78 6,117 
20232,355 735 93 3,183 
2022614 178 24 816 
2021725 233 48 1,006 
2020 or earlier590 63 44 697 
Revolving64,769 5,754 – 70,523 
Revolving converted to term503 – – 503 
Other collateralized 83,778 13,319 422 97,519 
2025618 56 – 674 
2024251 72 – 323 
202381 11 – 92 
202222 – 23 
202122 – – 22 
2020 or earlier– – 
Revolving1,680 103 – 1,783 
Other2,674 246 – 2,920 
Total$149,682 $47,675 $15,554 $212,911 
Percentage of total
70%23%7%100%







Credit Concentrations. The table below presents the concentration of gross loans by region.
$ in millionsCarrying
 Value
AmericasEMEAAsiaTotal
As of June 2026
Corporate$35,564 62%26%12%100%
Commercial real estate40,309 79%17%4%100%
Residential real estate35,542 91%7%2%100%
Securities-based
19,110 84%16% 100%
Other collateralized
108,991 79%19%2%100%
Credit cards19,506 100%  100%
Other4,054 95%5% 100%
Total$263,076 80%17%3%100%
As of December 2025
Corporate$30,676 66%25%9%100%
Commercial real estate37,409 76%20%4%100%
Residential real estate31,957 92%7%1%100%
Securities-based
18,079 78%22%– 100%
Other collateralized
98,999 80%18%2%100%
Credit cards19,742 100%– – 100%
Other3,020 97%3%– 100%
Total$239,882 81%16%3%100%
In the table above:
EMEA represents Europe, Middle East and Africa.
The top five industry concentrations for corporate loans as of June 2026 were 24% for technology, media & telecommunications, 21% for diversified industrials, 15% for real estate, 9% for consumer & retail and 9% for financial institutions.
The top five industry concentrations for corporate loans as of December 2025 were 26% for technology, media & telecommunications, 18% for diversified industrials, 16% for real estate, 10% for consumer & retail and 8% for financial institutions.

Nonaccrual, Past Due and Modified Loans. Loans accounted for at amortized cost are placed on nonaccrual status when it is probable that the firm will not collect all principal and interest due under the contractual terms, regardless of the delinquency status or if a loan is past due for 90 days or more, unless the loan is both well collateralized and in the process of collection. At that time, all accrued but uncollected interest is reversed against interest income and interest subsequently collected is recognized on a cash basis to the extent the loan balance is deemed collectible. Otherwise, all cash received is used to reduce the outstanding loan balance. A loan is considered past due when a principal or interest payment has not been made according to its contractual terms.
The table below presents information about past due loans accounted for at amortized cost.
$ in millions30-89 days90 days
 or more
Total
As of June 2026
Corporate$75 $157 $232 
Commercial real estate103 468 571 
Residential real estate 15 15 
Securities-based
4  4 
Other collateralized
 6 6 
Other23  23 
Total$205 $646 $851 
Total divided by gross loans at amortized cost0.4%
As of December 2025
Corporate$– $32 $32 
Commercial real estate336 281 617 
Residential real estate19 22 
Securities-based
– 
Other collateralized
57 63 
Other– 34 34 
Total$398 $372 $770 
Total divided by gross loans at amortized cost0.4%

The table below presents information about nonaccrual loans accounted for at amortized cost.
As of
JuneDecember
$ in millions20262025
Corporate$1,784 $2,065 
Commercial real estate1,186 1,079 
Residential real estate72 85 
Other collateralized
424 121 
Other20 37 
Total$3,486 $3,387 
Total divided by gross loans at amortized cost1.5%1.6%
In the table above:
Nonaccrual loans included $813 million as of June 2026 and $756 million as of December 2025 of loans that were 30 days or more past due.
Loans that were 90 days or more past due and still accruing were not material as of both June 2026 and December 2025.
Allowance for loan losses as a percentage of total nonaccrual loans was 62.8% as of June 2026 and 63.4% as of December 2025.
Commercial real estate, residential real estate, securities-based and other collateralized loans are collateral dependent loans and the repayment of such loans is generally expected to be provided by the operation or sale of the underlying collateral. The allowance for credit losses for such nonaccrual loans is determined by considering the fair value of the collateral less estimated costs to sell, if applicable. See Note 4 for further information about fair value measurements.
The firm may modify the terms of a loan agreement for a borrower experiencing financial difficulty. Such modifications may include, among other things, forbearance of interest or principal, payment extensions or interest rate reductions.
The table below presents the carrying value of loans accounted for at amortized cost, as of both June 2026 and June 2025, that were modified during each of the three and six months ended June 2026 and June 2025.
Three Months
Ended June
Six Months
Ended June
$ in millions2026202520262025
Modified loans
$229 $245 $328 $491 

In the table above:
Loan modifications during each of the three and six months ended June 2026 and June 2025 were primarily in the form of term and payment extensions. The impact of these modifications for each of the three and six months ended June 2026 and June 2025 was not material.
As of June 2026, all of the modified loans were related to corporate, commercial real estate and residential real estate loans. Such modified loans represented less than 1% for each of corporate loans (at amortized cost), commercial real estate loans (at amortized cost) and residential real estate loans (at amortized cost).
As of June 2025, substantially all of the modified loans were related to corporate, commercial real estate and credit card loans. Such modified loans represented approximately 1% of corporate loans (at amortized cost), and less than 1% of both commercial real estate loans (at amortized cost) and credit card loans (at amortized cost).
Lending commitments related to modified loans were not material as of June 2026 and $149 million as of June 2025.
During each of the three and six months ended June 2026 and June 2025, loans that defaulted after being modified were not material. Substantially all of the modified loans were performing in accordance with the modified contractual terms as of both June 2026 and June 2025.
Allowance for Credit Losses
The firm’s allowance for credit losses consists of the allowance for losses on loans and lending commitments accounted for at amortized cost. Loans and lending commitments accounted for at fair value or accounted for at the lower of cost or fair value are not subject to an allowance for credit losses.
To determine the allowance for credit losses, the firm classifies its loans and lending commitments accounted for at amortized cost into loan portfolios based on the level at which the firm has developed and documented its methodology to determine the allowance for credit losses. Following the transfer of the Apple Card loan portfolio to held for sale in December 2025, all of the firm’s loans and lending commitments subject to the allowance for credit losses are classified in the wholesale portfolio. The allowance for credit losses is measured on a collective basis for loans that exhibit similar risk characteristics using a modeled approach and on an asset-specific basis for loans that do not share similar risk characteristics.

The allowance for credit losses takes into account the weighted average of a range of forecasts of future economic conditions over the expected life of the loans and lending commitments. The expected life of each loan or lending commitment is determined based on the contractual term adjusted for extension options or demand features. The forecasts include multiple economic scenarios over a three-year period. For loans with expected lives beyond three years, the model reverts to historical loss information based on a non-linear modeled approach. The forecasted economic scenarios consider a number of risk factors relevant to the wholesale portfolio, as described below. The firm applies judgment in weighting individual scenarios each quarter based on a variety of factors, including the firm’s internally derived economic outlook, market consensus, recent macroeconomic conditions and industry trends.
The allowance for credit losses for wholesale loans and lending commitments that exhibit similar risk characteristics is measured using a modeled approach. These models determine the probability of default and loss given default based on various risk factors, including internal credit ratings, industry default and loss data, expected life, macroeconomic indicators, the borrower’s capacity to meet its financial obligations, the borrower’s country of risk and industry, loan seniority and collateral type. For lending commitments, the methodology also considers the probability of drawdowns or funding. In addition, for loans backed by real estate, risk factors include the loan-to-value ratio, debt service ratio and home price index. The most significant inputs to the forecast model for wholesale loans and lending commitments include unemployment rates, GDP, credit spreads, commercial and industrial delinquency rates, short- and long-term interest rates, and oil prices.
The allowance for loan losses for wholesale loans that do not share similar risk characteristics, such as nonaccrual loans, is calculated using the present value of expected future cash flows discounted at the loan’s effective interest rate, the observable market price of the loan, or, in the case of collateral dependent loans, the fair value of the collateral less estimated costs to sell, if applicable. Wholesale loans are charged off against the allowance for loan losses when such loans are determined to be uncollectible. Such determination is based on several factors, which may include the expected outcome of loan restructuring efforts and the valuation of the underlying collateral.

The allowance for credit losses also includes qualitative components which allow management to reflect the uncertain nature of economic forecasting, capture uncertainty regarding model inputs, and account for model imprecision and concentration risk. The qualitative factors considered by management include, among others, changes and trends in loan portfolios, uncertainties associated with the macroeconomic and geopolitical environments, credit concentrations, changes in volume and severity of past due and criticized loans, idiosyncratic events and deterioration within an industry or region.
Management’s estimate of credit losses entails judgment about the expected life of the loan and loan collectability at the reporting dates, and there are uncertainties inherent in those judgments. The allowance for credit losses is subject to a governance process that involves senior management within Risk and Controllers. Personnel within Risk are responsible for forecasting the economic variables that underlie the economic scenarios that are used in the modeling of expected credit losses. While management uses the best information available to determine this estimate, future adjustments to the allowance may be necessary based on, among other things, changes in the economic environment or variances between actual results and the original assumptions used.
The table below presents gross loans and lending commitments accounted for at amortized cost, all of which are included in the wholesale portfolio.
As of
June 2026December 2025
$ in millionsLoansLending
 Commitments
LoansLending
 Commitments
Corporate$33,663 $220,279 $29,432 $179,236 
Commercial real estate39,377 10,079 36,261 7,109 
Residential real estate32,438 3,847 28,700 3,017 
Securities-based
19,110 923 18,079 784 
Other collateralized
105,809 53,834 97,519 47,741 
Other3,994 1,177 2,920 1,085 
Total$234,391 $290,139 $212,911 $238,972 
In the table above, loans included $3.49 billion as of June 2026 and $3.39 billion as of December 2025 of nonaccrual loans for which the allowance for credit losses was measured on an asset-specific basis. The allowance for credit losses on these loans was $985 million as of June 2026 and $975 million as of December 2025. These loans included $486 million as of June 2026 and $656 million as of December 2025 of loans which did not require a reserve as the loan was deemed to be recoverable.
See Note 18 for further information about lending commitments.

Allowance for Credit Losses Rollforward
The table below presents information about the allowance for credit losses.
$ in millionsWholesale Consumer Total
Three Months Ended June 2026
Allowance for loan losses
Beginning balance$2,345 $ $2,345 
Charge-offs
(185) (185)
Recoveries
   
Net (charge-offs)/recoveries(185) (185)
Provision124  124 
Other(96) (96)
Ending balance$2,188 $ $2,188 
Allowance ratio0.9% 0.9%
Net charge-off ratio0.3% 0.3%
Allowance for losses on lending commitments
Beginning balance$792 $ $792 
Provision(21) (21)
Other   
Ending balance$771 $ $771 
Three Months Ended June 2025
Allowance for loan losses
Beginning balance$2,060 $2,448 $4,508 
Charge-offs
(6)(329)(335)
Recoveries
41 45 
Net (charge-offs)/recoveries(2)(288)(290)
Provision34 307 341 
Other(22)– (22)
Ending balance$2,070 $2,467 $4,537 
Allowance ratio1.1%12.8%2.1%
Net charge-off ratio– 6.1%0.6%
Allowance for losses on lending commitments
Beginning balance$707 $– $707 
Provision40 – 40 
Other– 
Ending balance$749 $– $749 
Six Months Ended June 2026
Allowance for loan losses
Beginning balance$2,148 $ $2,148 
Charge-offs(208) (208)
Recoveries14  14 
Net (charge-offs)/recoveries(194) (194)
Provision377  377 
Other(143) (143)
Ending balance$2,188 $ $2,188 
Allowance ratio0.9% 0.9%
Net charge-off ratio0.2% 0.2%
Allowance for losses on lending commitments
Beginning balance$731 $ $731 
Provision41  41 
Other(1) (1)
Ending balance$771 $ $771 
Six Months Ended June 2025
Allowance for loan losses
Beginning balance$2,099 $2,567 $4,666 
Charge-offs(66)(686)(752)
Recoveries10 76 86 
Net (charge-offs)/recoveries(56)(610)(666)
Provision101 510 611 
Other(74)– (74)
Ending balance$2,070 $2,467 $4,537 
Allowance ratio1.1%12.8%2.1%
Net charge-off ratio0.1%6.4%0.7%
Allowance for losses on lending commitments
Beginning balance$674 $– $674 
Provision72 – 72 
Other– 
Ending balance$749 $– $749 

In the table above:
During 2025, the firm had credit card loans accounted for at amortized cost that were included in the consumer portfolio. Such loans were transferred to held for sale in December 2025. The allowance for credit losses for consumer loans that exhibited similar risk characteristics was calculated using a modeled approach which classified consumer loans into pools based on borrower-related and exposure-related characteristics that differentiated a pool’s risk characteristics from other pools. Credit card loans were charged off when they were 180 days past due.
Other (within allowance for loan losses) primarily represented the reduction to the allowance related to loans transferred to held for sale.
The allowance ratio is calculated by dividing the allowance for loan losses by gross loans accounted for at amortized cost.
The net charge-off ratio is calculated by dividing annualized net (charge-offs)/recoveries by average gross loans accounted for at amortized cost.

Forecast Model Inputs as of June 2026
When modeling expected credit losses, the firm employs a weighted, multi-scenario forecast, which includes baseline, favorable and adverse economic scenarios. As of June 2026, this multi-scenario forecast was weighted towards the baseline and adverse economic scenarios.
The table below presents the forecasted U.S. unemployment and U.S. GDP growth rates used in the baseline economic scenario of the forecast model.
As of June 2026
U.S. unemployment rate
Forecast for the quarter ended:
December 20264.7%
June 20274.6%
December 2027
4.5%
U.S. GDP rate
Forecast for the year:
20261.9%
20271.8%
20281.9%
In the table above:
U.S. unemployment rate represents the rate forecasted as of the respective quarter-end.
U.S. GDP rate represents the year-over-year growth rate forecasted for the respective years.
The adverse economic scenario of the forecast model reflects a global recession, resulting in an economic contraction and rising unemployment rates. In this scenario, the U.S. unemployment rate peaks at 7.4% (during the third quarter of 2027) and the maximum decline in quarterly U.S. GDP relative to the second quarter of 2026 is 2.7% (which occurs during the second quarter of 2027).
In the multi-scenario forecast, the weighted average peak U.S. unemployment rate is 5.5% (during the third quarter of 2027) and the largest difference in quarterly U.S. GDP between the baseline scenario and the weighted average is 1.7% (which occurs during the fourth quarter of 2027).
While the U.S. unemployment and U.S. GDP growth rates are significant inputs to the forecast model, the model contemplates a variety of other inputs across a range of scenarios to provide a forecast of future economic conditions. Given the complex nature of the forecasting process, no single economic variable can be viewed in isolation and independently of other inputs.

Allowance for Credit Losses Commentary
Three Months Ended June 2026. The allowance for credit losses decreased by $178 million during the three months ended June 2026, primarily due to charge-offs and transfers of loans to held for sale, partially offset by portfolio growth and asset-specific provisions.
Charge-offs for the three months ended June 2026 for wholesale loans were related to commercial real estate loans, principally related to term loans originated in 2021.
Six Months Ended June 2026. The allowance for credit losses increased by $80 million during the six months ended June 2026, reflecting portfolio growth and asset-specific provisions, partially offset by charge-offs and transfers of loans to held for sale.
Charge-offs for the six months ended June 2026 for wholesale loans were primarily related to commercial real estate loans, principally related to term loans originated in 2021.
Three Months Ended June 2025. The allowance for credit losses increased by $71 million during the three months ended June 2025, reflecting growth in the credit card and wholesale portfolios.
Charge-offs for the three months ended June 2025 for wholesale loans were not material.
Six Months Ended June 2025. The allowance for credit losses decreased by $54 million during the six months ended June 2025, primarily reflecting a reserve release due to lower balances in credit card loans resulting from seasonal repayments.
Charge-offs for the six months ended June 2025 for wholesale loans were not material.
Estimated Fair Value
The table below presents the estimated fair value of loans that are not accounted for at fair value and in what level of the fair value hierarchy they would have been classified if they had been included in the firm’s fair value hierarchy.
Carrying ValueEstimated Fair Value
$ in millionsLevel 2Level 3Total
As of June 2026
Amortized cost$232,203 $122,835 $109,603 $232,438 
Held for sale$24,045 $21,916 $2,431 $24,347 
As of December 2025
Amortized cost$210,763 $113,861 $97,210 $211,071 
Held for sale$22,066 $21,383 $694 $22,077 
See Note 4 for an overview of the firm’s fair value measurement policies, valuation techniques and significant inputs used to determine the fair value of loans, and Note 5 for information about loans within the fair value hierarchy.