Credit Risk |
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| Disclosure of credit risk exposure [abstract] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credit Risk | Loans and advances at amortised cost by geography Total loans and advances at amortised cost in the credit risk section includes loans and advances at amortised cost to banks and loans and advances at amortised cost to customers. The table below presents a product and geographical breakdown of loans and advances at amortised cost and the impairment allowance by stage; and includes purchased or originated credit-impaired (POCI) balances. POCI balances represent a fixed pool of assets purchased at a deep discount to face value reflecting credit losses incurred from the point of origination to date of acquisition. The table also presents stage allocation of debt securities and off-balance sheet loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts. The impairment allowance under IFRS 9 considers both the drawn and the undrawn counterparty exposure. For retail portfolios, the total impairment allowance is allocated to gross loans and advances to the extent allowance does not exceed the drawn exposure and any excess is reported on the liabilities side of the balance sheet as a provision. For wholesale portfolios, impairment allowance on undrawn exposure is reported on the liability side of the balance sheet as a provision. .
1Includes Business Banking, which has a gross exposure of £12.4bn and an impairment allowance of £301m. This comprises £47m impairment allowance on £9.7bn Stage 1 exposure, £47m on £2.0bn Stage 2 exposure and £207m on £0.7bn Stage 3 exposure. Excluding this, total coverage for corporate loans in UK is 1.2%. 2Excludes loan commitments and financial guarantees of £32.3bn carried at fair value. 3Excludes other financial assets subject to impairment comprising of cash collateral and settlement balances, reverse repurchase agreements and other similar secured lending, financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income and other assets. These have a total gross exposure of £286.4bn and an impairment allowance of £151m. This comprises £17m impairment allowance on £285.5bn Stage 1 exposure, £10m on £0.8bn Stage 2 exposure and £124m on £127m Stage 3 exposure. 4The annualised loan loss rate is 62bps after applying the total impairment charges of £1,394m.
1Includes Business Banking, which has a gross exposure of £12.4bn and an impairment allowance of £326m. This comprises £62m impairment allowance on £9.3bn Stage 1 exposure, £50m on £2.3bn Stage 2 exposure and £214m on £0.8bn Stage 3 exposure. Excluding this, total coverage for corporate loans in UK is 0.8%. 2Excludes loan commitments and financial guarantees of £22.2bn carried at fair value and includes exposure relating to financial assets classified as assets held for sale. 3Excludes other financial assets subject to impairment comprising of cash collateral and settlement balances, reverse repurchase agreements and other similar secured lending, financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income and other assets. These have a total gross exposure of £224.1bn and an impairment allowance of £150m. This comprises £18m impairment allowance on £222.4bn Stage 1 exposure, £8m on £1.6bn Stage 2 exposure and £124m on £127m Stage 3 exposure. 4The annualised loan loss rate is 52bps after applying the total impairment charges of £2,279m. Loans and advances at amortised cost by productThe table below presents loans and advances at amortised cost by product and stage, including Stage 2 past due balances.
financial guarantees The following tables present a reconciliation of the opening to the closing balance of the gross exposure and impairment allowance. Transfers between stages in the tables have been reflected as if they had taken place at the beginning of the period. 'Net drawdowns, repayments, net re-measurement and movements due to exposure and risk parameter changes' includes additional drawdowns and partial repayments from existing facilities. Additionally, the tables below do not include other financial assets subject to impairment such as debt securities at amortised cost, reverse repurchase agreements and other similar secured lending, cash collateral and settlement balances, financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income and other assets. The movements in gross exposures and expected credit losses (ECL) are measured over a six-month period. Loans and advances at amortised cost
1The £957m of gross disposals reported within Retail mortgages relate to the transfer of facilities to a non-consolidated SPV for the purpose of securitisation. The £250m of gross disposals reported within Retail credit cards relate to debt sales undertaken during the period. 2Business activity in the period reported within Retail credit cards includes £101m related to the acquisition of Best Egg within USCB.
1Business activity in the period reported within Retail other includes £122m related to the acquisition of Best Egg within USCB. 2The £21m of gross disposals reported within Retail other and £55m of gross disposals reported within Corporate loans relate to debt sales undertaken during the period.
1In H126, gross write-offs amounted to £1,056m (H125: £747m) and cash recoveries on previously written off accounts were £66m (H125: £43m). Net write-offs, representing gross write-offs less recoveries, amounted to £990m (H125: £704m). 2Recoveries and reimbursements comprised of £66m (H125: £43m) of cash recoveries on previously written off accounts and £42m (H125: £58m) of reimbursements expected to be received under financial guarantee contracts with third parties. 3The ECL charges on assets held for sale relates to the AA portfolio within USCB, the sale of which was completed in April 2026.
1Loan commitments reported also include exposure relating to financial assets classified as held for sale. 2The gross disposals within Retail credit cards and Corporate loans reflect the sale of the AA portfolio within USCB, which was completed in April 2026. Management adjustments to models for impairmentManagement adjustments to impairment models are applied in order to factor in certain conditions or changes in policy that are not fully incorporated into the impairment models, or to reflect additional facts and circumstances at the period end. Management adjustments are reviewed and incorporated into future model development where applicable. Management adjustments are captured through “Economic uncertainty” and “Other” adjustments, and are presented by product and geography below: Management adjustments to models for impairment allowance presented by product and geography
1Includes £4.3bn (December 2025: £4.3bn) of modelled ECL, £0.9bn (December 2025: £0.7bn) of individually assessed impairments, £nil (December 2025: £(0.2)bn) of ECL from the AA portfolio within USCB, the sale of which was completed in April 2026 and £0.5bn (December 2025: £0.6bn) of ECL from benchmarked exposures and debt securities. 2Management adjustments related to other financial assets subject to impairment excluded in the table above include cash collateral and settlement balances £1m (December 2025: £1m) and reverse repurchase agreements and other similar secured lending £1m (December 2025: £1m) within the IB portfolio. 3Total impairment allowance consists of ECL stock on drawn and undrawn exposures. Economic uncertainty adjustments presented by stage
Economic uncertainty adjustments Economic uncertainty adjustments result from the identification of customers and clients who may be more vulnerable to economic instability and are applied at a portfolio level. Economic uncertainty adjustments have decreased from last year, informed by the retirement of tariff-related adjustments of £81m driven by the lack of tariff-driven credit deterioration and losses. However, geopolitical uncertainty persists and is reflected through an adjustment of £66m to capture increased downside risk, as any potential impact on corporate earnings is expected to lag. Total economic uncertainty adjustments as at 30 June 2026 are £76m (December 2025: £115m) and include: •Retail credit cards (ROW) £nil (December 2025: £31m): The previously held tariff-related adjustment was retired following the lack of tariff-driven credit deterioration and losses •Corporate loans (UK) £17m (December 2025: £39m): This adjustment reflects potential cross-default risk on Barclays’ lending in respect of clients who have taken out Bounce Back Loans and an adjustment to capture increased downside risk, amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. The reduction reflects the partial release of the cross-default risk adjustment, supported by resilient borrower behaviour •Corporate loans (ROW) £57m (December 2025: £44m): The previously held tariff-related adjustment was retired due to the lack of tariff-driven credit deterioration and losses. However, geopolitical uncertainty persists and is reflected through an adjustment to capture increased downside risk, as any potential impact on corporate earnings is expected to lag Other adjustments Other adjustments are operational and remain in place until incorporated into the underlying models. These adjustments result from data limitations and model performance related issues identified through model monitoring and other established governance processes. Total other adjustments as at 30 June 2026 are £213m (December 2025: £254m) and include: •Retail mortgages (UK) £4m (December 2025: £15m): The movement reflects the retirement of operational adjustments following updates to the Private Banking impairment models •Retail credit cards (ROW) £55m (December 2025: £87m): This adjustment reflects provisioning for the Best Egg acquisition during the period and the annual update to the high-risk account management (HRAM) framework within the USCB portfolio. The previously held adjustment relating to the acquisition of the GM consumer cards portfolio was retired following model implementation •Retail other (UK) £97m (December 2025: £85m) and Corporate loans (UK) £49m (December 2025: £53m): These include adjustments for the definition of default (DOD) criteria under the Capital Requirements Regulation and model monitoring outcomes and have remained broadly stable compared to year-end •Corporate loans (ROW) £6m (December 2025: £13m): This adjustment reflects operational adjustments within the GM business cards portfolio Measurement uncertaintyScenarios used to calculate the Group’s modelled ECL charge were refreshed in Q226, with the Baseline scenario reflecting the latest consensus macroeconomic forecasts available at the time of the scenario refresh. The Baseline scenario continues to reflect the volatile trade policies of the US administration and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty but with a more pronounced inflationary backdrop. Global growth slows modestly as higher US tariffs, retaliatory measures and persistent uncertainty disrupt trade flows, dampen business confidence, and weigh on investment, though domestic demand in advanced economies remains relatively resilient. UK and US GDP growth in 2026 is expected to be 0.4% and 1.7%, respectively. Headline inflation remains elevated and sticky, particularly through imported goods and energy-related components. The softening in labour markets is gradual and insufficient to quickly alleviate underlying price pressures. UK and US quarterly unemployment rates peak at 5.4% and 4.5%, respectively. The Downside scenarios have been calibrated to capture a severe escalation in geopolitical tensions, centred on a prolonged Middle East conflict, alongside intensifying global trade frictions. Early in the scenario, conflict escalates sharply with disruptions at critical maritime chokepoints, triggering severe shipping disruptions, surging insurance costs and sharp increases in oil and gas prices amid infrastructure damage. As the shock becomes protracted, firms delay investment, reassess supply chains and hoard inputs, while business and consumer confidence fall sharply. The deterioration in demand and investment drives a sharp increase in unemployment, initially concentrated in trade and energy exposed sectors but increasingly spilling over into services. Inflation dynamics diverge sharply from Baseline, generating a stagflationary impulse. Energy prices rise sharply and remain structurally elevated, with persistent volatility and recurring supply disruptions. Monetary policy faces a difficult trade-off between persistent inflation and weakening growth. Central banks initially hike to ensure inflation expectations remain well anchored, but as the downturn deepens and demand forces weaken price pressures, they shift towards easing. The scenarios also incorporate climate-related risks through both physical and transition channels, including more frequent severe weather disruptions and a shift in sentiment around energy security. These effects amplify volatility, increase costs and further weigh on growth over the medium term. In the Upside scenarios, a rise in labour force participation and higher productivity contribute to accelerated economic growth, without creating new inflationary pressures. Central banks lower interest rates stimulating private consumption and investment growth. Demand for labour increases and unemployment decreases. As geopolitical tensions ease, low inflation supports consumer purchasing power and contributes further to healthy GDP growth. The methodology for estimating scenario weights involves simulating a range of future paths for UK and US GDP using historical data with the five scenarios mapped against the distribution of these future paths. The decrease in Upside weights is driven by deterioration in UK GDP outlook in the Baseline scenario, moving the Baseline scenario further from the Upside Management adjustments recognised in Q126 in Barclays UK (£10m) and US Consumer Bank (£25m1) to reflect near-term impacts of the most recent geopolitical escalation, were consumed, as the impacts are now captured through the Q226 scenario refresh. However, the Group has retained the £66m2 management adjustment introduced in Q126 within the Investment Bank, reflecting increased downside risk amid persistent geopolitical uncertainty, as any potential impact on The following tables show the key macroeconomic variables used in the five scenarios (5-year annual paths) and the weights applied to each scenario. 1Excludes management adjustment of £4m for held for sale portfolio. 2Excludes management adjustment of £2m related to other financial assets subject to impairment.
1Average Real GDP seasonally adjusted change in year. 2Average UK unemployment rate 16-year+. 3Change in year-end UK HPI = Halifax HPI Meth2 All Houses, All Buyers index, relative to prior year-end. 4Average US civilian unemployment rate 16-year+. 5Change in year-end US HPI = FHFA House Price Index, relative to prior year-end. 6Average rate.
1Average Real GDP seasonally adjusted change in year. 2Average UK unemployment rate 16-year+. 3Change in year-end UK HPI = Halifax HPI Meth2 All Houses, All Buyers index, relative to prior year-end. 4Average US civilian unemployment rate 16-year+. 5Change in year-end US HPI = FHFA House Price Index, relative to prior year-end. 6Average rate.
example, the highest unemployment for downside scenarios, average unemployment for baseline scenarios and lowest unemployment for upside scenarios. GDP and HPI downside and upside scenario data represent the lowest and highest cumulative positions relative to the start point in the 20 quarter period.
1UK GDP = Real GDP growth seasonally adjusted; UK unemployment = UK unemployment rate 16-year+; UK HPI = Halifax HPI Meth2 All Houses, All Buyers index; US GDP = Real GDP growth seasonally adjusted; US unemployment = US civilian unemployment rate 16-year+; US HPI = FHFA House Price Index. 20 quarter period starts from Q126 (2025: Q125). 2Maximum growth relative to Q425 (2025: Q424), based on 20 quarter period in Upside scenarios; 5-year yearly average CAGR in Baseline; minimum growth relative to Q425 (2025: Q424), based on 20 quarter period in Downside scenarios. 3Lowest quarter in 20 quarter period in Upside scenarios; 5-year average in Baseline; highest quarter 20 quarter period in Downside scenarios. 4Maximum growth relative to Q425 (2025: Q424), based on 20 quarter period in Upside scenarios; 5-year quarter end CAGR in Baseline; minimum growth relative to Q425 (2025: Q424), based on 20 quarter period in Downside scenarios. Average basis represents the average quarterly value of variables in the 20 quarter period with GDP and HPI based on yearly average and quarterly CAGRs respectively.
1UK GDP = Real GDP growth seasonally adjusted; UK unemployment = UK unemployment rate 16-year+; UK HPI = Halifax HPI Meth2 All Houses, All Buyers index; US GDP = Real GDP growth seasonally adjusted; US unemployment = US civilian unemployment rate 16-year+; US HPI = FHFA House Price Index. 20 quarter period starts from Q126 (2025: Q125). 25-year yearly average CAGR, starting 2025 (2025: 2024). 35-year average. Period based on 20 quarters from Q126 (2025: Q125). 45-year quarter end CAGR, starting Q425 (2025: Q424). ECL sensitivity analysisThe table below shows the modelled ECL assuming each of the five modelled scenarios are 100% weighted with the dispersion of results around the Baseline, highlighting the impact on exposure and ECL across the scenarios. Model exposure uses exposure at default (EAD) values and is not directly comparable to gross exposure used in other disclosures.
1Model exposures are allocated to a stage based on an individual scenario rather than a probability-weighted approach as required for Barclays reported impairment allowances. As a result, it is not possible to back solve the final reported weighted ECL from individual scenarios given balances may be assigned to a different stage dependent on the scenario. 2Model exposures and ECL reported within Retail credit cards and Corporate loans exclude the AA portfolio within USCB, the sale of which was completed in April 2026. 3Model exposures allocated to Stage 3 do not change in any of the scenarios as the transition criteria relies only on observable evidence of default as at 30 June 2026 and not on the macroeconomic scenario. 4Material corporate loan defaults are individually assessed across different recovery strategies. As a result, ECL of £882m is reported as an individually assessed impairment in the reconciliation table. 5ECL from benchmarked exposures and others includes ECL on Tesco Bank of £430m calculated using a benchmarked approach based on UK cards and UK retail loans. The sensitivity of these exposures would materially reflect the sensitivity of the benchmarked model. The use of five scenarios with associated weightings results in a total weighted ECL uplift from the Baseline ECL of 2.1%. Retail mortgages: Total weighted ECL of £81m represents a 28.6% increase over the Baseline ECL (£63m). Total ECL increases to £294m under the Downside 2 scenario, driven by a fall in UK HPI. Retail credit cards: Total weighted ECL of £3,290m represents a 0.9% increase over the Baseline ECL (£3,261m). Total ECL increases to £3,821m under the Downside 2 scenario, driven by an increase in UK and US unemployment rate. Retail other: Total weighted ECL of £189m represents a 0.5% increase over the Baseline ECL (£188m). Total ECL increases to £225m under the Downside 2 scenario, largely driven by an increase in UK unemployment rate. Corporate loans: Total weighted ECL of £768m represents a 5.5% increase over the Baseline ECL (£728m). Total ECL increases to £1,326m under the Downside 2 scenario, driven by a decrease in UK and US GDP.
1Model exposures are allocated to a stage based on an individual scenario rather than a probability-weighted approach as required for Barclays reported impairment allowances. As a result, it is not possible to back solve the final reported weighted ECL from individual scenarios given balances may be assigned to a different stage dependent on the scenario. 2Model exposure and ECL reported within Retail credit cards and Corporate loans continue to include the AA portfolio within USCB, classified as assets held for sale. 3Model exposures allocated to Stage 3 do not change in any of the scenarios as the transition criteria relies only on observable evidence of default as at 31 December 2025 and not on the macroeconomic scenario. 4Material corporate loan defaults are individually assessed across different recovery strategies. As a result, ECL of £672m is reported as an individually assessed impairment in the reconciliation table. 5ECL from benchmarked exposures and others includes ECL on Tesco Bank of £400m calculated using a benchmarked approach based on UK cards and UK retail loans. The sensitivity of these exposures would materially reflect the sensitivity of the benchmarked model. Management VaR (95%) by risk factor
1Diversification effects recognise that forecast losses from different assets or businesses are unlikely to occur concurrently, hence the expected aggregate loss is lower than the sum of the expected losses from each area. Historical correlations between losses are taken into account in making these assessments. The high and low VaR figures reported for each category did not necessarily occur on the same day as the high and low total management VaR. Consequently, a diversification effect balance for the high and low VaR figures would not be meaningful and is therefore omitted from the above table. Average Management VaR remained relatively stable at £20m (H225: £18m) driven by a small increase in credit risk, partially offset by a slight decrease in interest rate risk.
1As at 30 June 2026, the Group's MREL requirement, excluding any applicable PRA buffer, was to hold £111.4bn of own funds and eligible liabilities equating to 30.5% of RWAs. The Group remains above its MREL regulatory requirement including any applicable PRA buffer.
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