Critical Accounting Estimates and Judgments (Tables)

12 Months Ended

Mar. 31, 2026


	For the fiscal year ending March 31,
As at March 31, 2026:	2027			2028
Upside		(%)
Japanese GDP (Nominal)		4.9			4.1
U.S. GDP (Real)		3.9			2.4
EMU GDP (Real)		2.6			3.1
Asia-Pacific GDP (Real)		6.3			5.0
Japanese short-term interest rate		0.9			1.0

Base
Japanese GDP (Nominal)		3.2			3.7
U.S. GDP (Real)		2.1			2.0
EMU GDP (Real)		1.2			1.3
Asia-Pacific GDP (Real)		4.5			4.6
Japanese short-term interest rate		0.7			0.7

Downside
Japanese GDP (Nominal)		(0.4	)		2.7
U.S. GDP (Real)		(1.5	)		1.0
EMU GDP (Real)		0.6			0.3
Asia-Pacific GDP (Real)		2.8			4.2
Japanese short-term interest rate		0.5			0.2

Severe downside
Japanese GDP (Nominal)		(3.7	)		(0.6	)
U.S. GDP (Real)		(3.4	)		0.7
EMU GDP (Real)		(0.5	)		(1.4	)
Asia-Pacific GDP (Real)		1.0			3.6
Japanese short-term interest rate		0.7			0.3


	For the fiscal year ending March 31,
As at March 31, 2025:	2026			2027
Upside		(%)
Japanese GDP (Nominal)		3.5			3.7
U.S. GDP (Real)		2.5			3.3
EMU GDP (Real)		1.0			2.9
Asia-Pacific GDP (Real)		5.1			5.8
Japanese short-term interest rate		0.5			0.5

Base
Japanese GDP (Nominal)		2.3			2.4
U.S. GDP (Real)		1.3			2.0
EMU GDP (Real)		0.5			0.6
Asia-Pacific GDP (Real)		3.9			4.5
Japanese short-term interest rate		0.5			0.5

Downside
Japanese GDP (Nominal)		1.7			2.0
U.S. GDP (Real)		0.2			0.3
EMU GDP (Real)		(0.4	)		(3.2	)
Asia-Pacific GDP (Real)		2.8			3.3
Japanese short-term interest rate		0.5			0.5

Severe downside
Japanese GDP (Nominal)		0.9			(2.2	)
U.S. GDP (Real)		(1.1	)		(1.1	)
EMU GDP (Real)		(0.8	)		(5.4	)
Asia-Pacific GDP (Real)		1.5			1.9
Japanese short-term interest rate		1.0			0.0

The following table shows the probability weightings of each scenario the Group estimates.


	Upside		Base		Downside		Severe downside
	(%)
As at March 31, 2026:
Scenario probability weighting		20		60		18		2


	Upside		Base		Downside		Severe downside
	(%)
As at March 31, 2025:
Scenario probability weighting		20		60		19		1