v3.25.2
Credit risk (Tables)
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2025
Disclosure of credit risk exposure [abstract]  
Disclosure of loans and advances at amortised cost by product
 Stage 2
As at 30.06.25Stage 1Not past due<=30 days past due>30 days past dueTotalStage 3
Total1
Gross exposure£m£m£m£m£m£m£m
Retail mortgages4,60559421012544,960
Retail credit cards15,9752,2312272052,6631,61520,253
Retail other3,582126108262601944,036
Corporate loans106,4267,65172927,8151,864116,105
Total loans and advances at amortised cost130,58810,06740736510,8393,927145,354
Debt securities at amortised cost53,91870870854,626
Total loans and advances at amortised cost including debt securities184,50610,77540736511,5473,927199,980
Impairment allowance
Retail mortgages52227
Retail credit cards297541911197511,3232,371
Retail other12332035
Corporate loans15024948261407818
Total loans and advances at amortised cost464793951271,0151,7723,251
Debt securities at amortised cost10111121
Total loans and advances at amortised cost including debt securities474804951271,0261,7723,272
Net exposure
Retail mortgages4,60059421012324,933
Retail credit cards15,6781,690136861,91229217,882
Retail other3,570123108262571744,001
Corporate loans106,2767,40268847,5541,457115,287
Total loans and advances at amortised cost130,1249,2743122389,8242,155142,103
Debt securities at amortised cost53,90869769754,605
Total loans and advances at amortised cost including debt securities184,0329,97131223810,5212,155196,708
Coverage ratio%%%%%%%
Retail mortgages0.1 — — — — 8.7 0.5 
Retail credit cards1.9 24.2 40.1 58.0 28.2 81.9 11.7 
Retail other0.3 2.4 — — 1.2 10.3 0.9 
Corporate loans0.1 3.3 5.6 8.7 3.3 21.8 0.7 
Total loans and advances at amortised cost0.4 7.9 23.3 34.8 9.4 45.1 2.2 
Debt securities at amortised cost— 1.6 — — 1.6 — — 
Total loans and advances at amortised cost including debt securities0.3 7.5 23.3 34.8 8.9 45.1 1.6 
1Other financial assets subject to impairment excluded in the table above include cash collateral and settlement balances, reverse repurchase agreements and other similar secured lending, financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income and other assets. These have a total gross exposure of £201.2bn and an impairment allowance of £144m. This comprises £21m impairment allowance on £200.2bn Stage 1 exposure, £4m on £0.9bn Stage 2 exposure and £119m on £124m Stage 3 exposure. Loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts have total impairment allowance of £405m.
Stage 2
As at 31.12.24Stage 1Not past due<=30 days past due>30 days past dueTotalStage 3
Total1
Gross exposure£m£m£m£m£m£m£m
Retail mortgages4,53791411503104,997
Retail credit cards17,6292,4492562482,9531,72422,306
Retail other3,329177157704042163,949
Corporate loans107,1947,944137668,1471,654116,995
Total loans and advances at amortised cost132,68910,57955052511,6543,904148,247
Debt securities at amortised cost47,0773,1703,17050,247
Total loans and advances at amortised cost including debt securities179,76613,74955052514,8243,904198,494
Impairment allowance
Retail mortgages8113241
Retail credit cards3345521051508071,4162,557
Retail other5112531
Corporate loans14424068254393791
Total loans and advances at amortised cost4917941111581,0631,8663,420
Debt securities at amortised cost9111120
Total loans and advances at amortised cost including debt securities5008051111581,0741,8663,440
Net exposure
Retail mortgages4,52981411492784,956
Retail credit cards17,2951,897151982,14630819,749
Retail other3,324176157704031913,918
Corporate loans107,0507,704131587,8931,261116,204
Total loans and advances at amortised cost132,1989,78543936710,5912,038144,827
Debt securities at amortised cost47,0683,1593,15950,227
Total loans and advances at amortised cost including debt securities179,26612,94443936713,7502,038195,054
Coverage ratio%%%%%%%
Retail mortgages0.2 11.1 — — 0.7 10.3 0.8 
Retail credit cards1.9 22.5 41.0 60.5 27.3 82.1 11.5 
Retail other0.2 0.6 — — 0.2 11.6 0.8 
Corporate loans0.1 3.0 4.4 12.1 3.1 23.8 0.7 
Total loans and advances at amortised cost0.4 7.5 20.2 30.1 9.1 47.8 2.3 
Debt securities at amortised cost— 0.3 — — 0.3 — — 
Total loans and advances at amortised cost including debt securities0.3 5.9 20.2 30.1 7.2 47.8 1.7 
1Other financial assets subject to impairment excluded in the table above include cash collateral and settlement balances, reverse repurchase agreements and other similar secured lending, financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income and other assets. These have a total gross exposure of £169.6bn and an impairment allowance of £150m. This comprises £17m impairment allowance on £168.3bn Stage 1 exposure, £7m on £1.1bn Stage 2 exposure and £126m on £130m Stage 3 exposure. Loan commitments and financial guarantee contracts have total impairment allowance of £420m.
Disclosure of movement in gross exposures and impairment allowance including provisions for loan commitments and financial guarantees
The following tables present a reconciliation of the opening to the closing balance of the gross exposure and impairment allowance.

Transfers between stages in the tables have been reflected as if they had taken place at the beginning of the period. 'Net drawdowns, repayments, net re-measurement and movements due to exposure and risk parameter changes' includes additional drawdowns and partial repayments from existing facilities. Additionally, the below tables do not include other financial assets subject to impairment such as debt securities at amortised cost, reverse repurchase agreements and other similar secured lending, cash collateral and settlement balances, financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income and other assets.

The movements are measured over a six-month period.
Loans and advances at amortised cost
Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3Total
Gross exposureECLGross exposureECLGross exposureECLGross exposureECL
£m£m£m£m£m£m£m£m
Retail mortgages
As at 1 January 20254,537 150 310 32 4,997 41 
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2(82)— 82 — — — — — 
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1117 — (117)— — — — — 
Transfers to Stage 3(19)— (20)— 39 — — — 
Transfers from Stage 347 13 — (60)(2)— — 
Business activity in the period275 — — — 22 — 297 — 
Refinements to models used for calculation— — — — — — — — 
Net drawdowns, repayments, net re-measurement and movement due to exposure and risk parameter changes66 (5)— (11)57 
Final repayments(336)— (8)— (29)(1)(373)(1)
Disposals1
— — (1)(1)(9)(5)(10)(6)
Write-offs
— — — — (8)(8)(8)(8)
As at 30 June 2025
4,605 5 101  254 22 4,960 27 
Retail credit cards
As at 1 January 202517,6293342,9538071,7241,41622,3062,557
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2(1,181)(40)1,18140— 
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 1884198(884)(198)— 
Transfers to Stage 3(195)(9)(524)(231)719240— 
Transfers from Stage 35454(10)(8)— 
Business activity in the period6251229965421 
Refinements to models used for calculation2
14(47)1(32)
Net drawdowns, repayments, net re-measurement and movement due to exposure and risk parameter changes(1,760)(214)(91)368(204)257(2,055)411 
Final repayments(32)(2)(6)(1)(38)(3)
Disposals1
(173)(142)(173)(142)
Write-offs
(441)(441)(441)(441)
As at 30 June 2025
15,9752972,6637511,6151,32320,2532,371
1The £10m of gross disposals reported within Retail mortgages relate to sale of the Italian mortgage loans. The £173m of gross disposals reported within Retail credit cards relate to debt sale undertaken during the period.
2Refinements to models used for calculation reported within Retail credit cards include a £(32)m movement in the calculated ECL for the US Cards portfolio. These reflect model enhancements made during the period. Barclays continually reviews the output of models to determine accuracy of the ECL calculation including review of model monitoring, external benchmarking and experience of model operation over an extended period of time. This helps to ensure that the models used continue to reflect the risks inherent across the businesses.
Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3Total
Gross exposureECLGross exposureECLGross exposureECLGross exposureECL
£m£m£m£m£m£m£m£m
Retail other
As at 1 January 20253,329 404 216 25 3,949 31 
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2(112)— 112 — — — — — 
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 163 — (63)— — — — — 
Transfers to Stage 3(22)— (30)— 52 — — — 
Transfers from Stage 323 — — (23)(1)— — 
Business activity in the period895 — — — — 900 — 
Refinements to models used for calculation— — — — — — — — 
Net drawdowns, repayments, net re-measurement and movement due to exposure and risk parameter changes774 86 58 918 14 
Final repayments(1,368)(2)(249)— (111)(5)(1,728)(7)
Disposals— — — — — — — — 
Write-offs
— — — — (3)(3)(3)(3)
As at 30 June 2025
3,582 12 260 3 194 20 4,036 35 
Corporate loans
As at 1 January 2025107,1941448,1472541,654393116,995791
Transfers from Stage 1 to Stage 2(1,916)(9)1,9169
Transfers from Stage 2 to Stage 11,58232(1,582)(32)
Transfers to Stage 3(263)(2)(317)(22)58024
Transfers from Stage 3631111(74)(2)
Business activity in the period16,262221,236262902017,78868
Refinements to models used for calculation1
(8)(6)(14)
Net drawdowns, repayments, net re-measurement and movement due to exposure and risk parameter changes267(16)(166)66(174)158(73)208
Final repayments(16,762)(13)(1,428)(33)(166)(40)(18,356)(86)
Disposals2
(1)(1)(2)(2)(121)(21)(124)(24)
Write-offs
(125)(125)(125)(125)
As at 30 June 2025
106,4261507,8152611,864407116,105818
1Refinements to models used for calculation reported within Corporate loans include a £(14)m movement in the calculated ECL for the IB portfolio. These reflect model enhancements made during the period. Barclays continually reviews the output of models to determine accuracy of the ECL calculation including review of model monitoring, external benchmarking and experience of model operation over an extended period of time. This helps to ensure that the models used continue to reflect the risks inherent across the businesses.
2The £124m of gross disposals reported within Corporate loans relate to debt sales undertaken during the period.
Reconciliation of ECL movement to impairment charge/(release) for the period
Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3Total
£m£m£m£m
Retail mortgages(3)— — 
Retail credit cards(37)(56)490 397 
Retail other(2)
Corporate loans160 176
ECL movement excluding disposals and write-offs1
(26)(45)651 580 
ECL movement on loan commitments and other financial guarantees(4)(7)(4)(15)
ECL movement on other financial assets
(3)(7)(6)
ECL movement on debt securities at amortised cost
— — 
Recoveries and reimbursements2
(3)(16)(54)(73)
ECL charge on assets held for sale3
105 
Total exchange and other adjustments
283 
Total income statement charge for the period875 
1In H125, gross write-offs amounted to £577m (H124: £585m) and post write-off recoveries amounted to £21m (H124: £14m). Net write-offs represent gross write-offs less post write-off recoveries and amounted to £556m (H124: £571m).
2Recoveries and reimbursements include £52m (H124: £18m) for reimbursements expected to be received under the arrangement where Barclays Bank Group has entered into financial guarantee contracts which provide credit protection over certain assets with third parties and cash recoveries of previously written off amounts £21m (H124: £14m).
3ECL charge on assets held for sale relate to the charges on a co-branded card portfolio in USCB and the German consumer finance business.
Loan commitments and financial guarantees1
Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3Total
Gross exposureECLGross exposureECLGross exposureECLGross exposureECL
£m£m£m£m£m£m£m£m
Retail mortgages
As at 1 January 202518119
Net transfers between stages
Business activity in the year55
Net drawdowns, repayments, net re-measurement and movement due to exposure and risk parameter changes(8)(8)
Limit management and final repayments(2)(2)
As at 30 June 20258614
Retail credit cards
As at 1 January 2025112,645341,64815101114,30350
Net transfers between stages(989)6989(6)
Business activity in the year7,09553617,1316
Net drawdowns, repayments, net re-measurement and movement due to exposure and risk parameter changes(7,716)(11)(1,071)9(1)(8,787)(3)
Limit management and final repayments(5,887)(4)(110)(3)(5,997)(7)
Disposals2
(5,203)(217)(10)(5,430)
As at 30 June 202599,945301,27516101,22046
Retail other
As at 1 January 20253,9705103114,0845
Net transfers between stages(13)121
Business activity in the year363363
Net drawdowns, repayments, net re-measurement and movement due to exposure and risk parameter changes196(3)(1)(6)189(3)
Limit management and final repayments(565)(25)(3)(593)
Disposals2
(743)(30)(1)(774)
As at 30 June 20253,20825923,2692
Corporate loans
As at 1 January 2025229,56511615,07922595424245,598365
Net transfers between stages(70)23(98)(22)168(1)
Business activity in the year52,611231,166316853,84554
Net drawdowns, repayments, net re-measurement and movement due to exposure and risk parameter changes(4,388)(29)(1,178)21(261)(5,827)(8)
Limit management and final repayments(49,930)(14)(1,983)(38)(163)(2)(52,076)(54)
As at 30 June 2025227,78811912,98621776621241,540357
1 Loan commitments reported also include financial assets classified as held for sale.
2The gross disposals reported within Retail credit card and Retail other relate to the German consumer finance business; sale of which was completed in Q125.
Disclosure of management adjustment to models for impairment
Management adjustments to models for impairment allowance presented by product1
Impairment allowance pre management adjustments2
Economic uncertainty adjustmentsOther adjustments
Management adjustments3
Total impairment allowance4
Proportion of Management adjustments to Total impairment allowance
(a)(b)(a+b)
As at 30.06.2025£m£m£m£m£m%
Retail mortgages24332711.1 
Retail credit cards5
2,38730302,4171.2 
Retail other3737— 
Corporate loans5
1,18748(60)(12)1,175(1.0)
Total3,63578(57)213,6560.6 
Debt securities at amortised cost2011214.8 
Total including debt securities at amortised cost3,65579(57)223,6770.6 
As at 31.12.2024£m£m£m£m£m%
Retail mortgages3833417.3 
Retail credit cards2,630(23)(23)2,607(0.9)
Retail other32443611.1 
Corporate loans1,162(6)(6)1,156(0.5)
Total3,862(22)(22)3,840(0.6)
Debt securities at amortised cost27(7)(7)20(35.0)
Total including debt securities at amortised cost3,889(29)(29)3,860(0.8)

Economic uncertainty adjustments presented by stage

Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3Total
As at 30.06.2025£m£m£m£m
Retail mortgages
Retail credit cards3030
Retail other
Corporate loans153348
Total156378
Debt securities at amortised cost11
Total including debt securities at amortised cost166379

1Positive values reflect an increase in impairment allowance and negative values reflect a reduction in the impairment allowance.
2Includes £3.4bn (December 2024: £3.7bn) of modelled ECL, £0.4bn (December 2024: £0.3bn) of individually assessed impairments, £(0.2)bn (December 2024: £(0.3)bn) of ECL from assets held for sale (co-branded card portfolio) and £0.1bn (December 2024: £0.1bn) of ECL from non-modelled exposures and debt securities.
3Management adjustments related to other financial assets subject to impairment not included in the table above include cash collateral and settlement balances £nil (December 2024: £(1)m), reverse repurchase agreements £1m (December 2024: £(2)m) and financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income £nil (December 2024: £(2)m) within the IB portfolio.
4Total impairment allowance consists of ECL stock on drawn and undrawn exposure.
5Economic uncertainty adjustment of £87m is split £36m in USCB (including £6m in HFS) and £51m in IB, primarily reported within Corporate loans.
Management adjustments to models for impairment

Management adjustments to models for impairment
Impairment allowance pre management adjustments
Economic uncertainty adjustments1 (a)
Other adjustments (b)Management adjustments (a+b)Total impairment allowanceProportion of Management adjustments to Total impairment allowance
As at 30.06.2025£m£m£m£m£m%
Retail credit cards - US235662412.5 
Retail credit cards - Germany— 
Retail other - Germany— 
Corporate loans - US44— 
Total239662452.4 
As at 31.12.2024£m£m£m£m£m%
Retail credit cards - US277277— 
Retail credit cards - Germany101161611713.7 
Retail other - Germany8017179717.5 
Corporate loans - US55— 
Total46333334966.7 

1    Economic uncertainty adjustment of £6m (December 2024: £nil) reflects an adjustment introduced during the year to provide for the elevated US macroeconomic uncertainty and reported in Stage 2.
Disclosure of macroeconomic variables
Macroeconomic variables used in the calculation of ECL
As at 30 June 202520252026202720282029
Baseline % % %%%
UK GDP1
0.7 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.7 
UK unemployment2
4.6 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 
UK HPI3
2.1 2.3 2.3 3.5 3.9 
UK bank rate6
4.1 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9 
US GDP1
1.9 1.4 2.0 2.0 2.0 
US unemployment4
4.4 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 
US HPI5
2.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 
US federal funds rate6
4.3 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.8 
Downside 2
UK GDP1
(0.2)(3.4)1.7 2.6 1.8 
UK unemployment2
4.9 7.6 7.5 5.9 5.3 
UK HPI3
(9.4)(20.6)1.2 18.1 10.0 
UK bank rate6
4.0 1.4 0.2 0.8 1.5 
US GDP1
0.9 (4.7)(0.2)2.3 2.3 
US unemployment4
4.6 7.3 7.8 6.4 5.8 
US HPI5
(1.6)(6.6)3.6 9.1 4.7 
US federal funds rate6
4.5 4.1 2.4 1.4 1.2 
Downside 1
UK GDP1
0.2 (1.1)1.6 2.1 1.8 
UK unemployment2
4.8 6.2 6.1 5.2 4.9 
UK HPI3
(3.7)(9.6)1.7 10.7 7.0 
UK bank rate6
4.1 3.1 2.2 2.3 2.7 
US GDP1
1.4 (1.6)0.9 2.1 2.1 
US unemployment4
4.5 5.9 6.2 5.5 5.2 
US HPI5
0.5 (2.4)2.8 5.5 3.4 
US federal funds rate6
4.3 3.9 2.9 2.6 2.6 
Upside 2
UK GDP1
1.1 3.9 3.2 2.6 2.3 
UK unemployment2
4.4 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.7 
UK HPI3
4.4 14.2 6.8 2.7 3.8 
UK bank rate6
4.1 3.1 2.5 2.6 2.9 
US GDP1
2.3 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 
US unemployment4
4.2 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9 
US HPI5
5.2 4.3 5.3 4.9 4.9 
US federal funds rate6
4.1 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.8 
Upside 1
UK GDP1
0.9 2.5 2.4 2.1 2.0 
UK unemployment2
4.5 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 
UK HPI3
3.2 8.1 4.5 3.1 3.9 
UK bank rate6
4.1 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.4 
US GDP1
2.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 
US unemployment4
4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.2 
US HPI5
4.0 3.1 3.7 3.4 3.4 
US federal funds rate6
4.3 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.5 

1.Average Real GDP seasonally adjusted change in year.
2.Average UK unemployment rate 16-year+.
3.Change in year end UK HPI = Halifax HPI Meth2 All Houses, All Buyers index.
4.Average US civilian unemployment rate 16-year+.
5.Change in year end US HPI = FHFA House Price Index, relative to prior year end.
6.Average rate.
Macroeconomic variables used in the calculation of ECL
As at 31 December 202420242025202620272028
Baseline%%%%%
UK GDP1
1.0 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5 
UK unemployment2
4.3 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.4 
UK HPI3
2.8 3.3 1.6 4.5 3.0 
UK bank rate6
5.1 4.3 4.0 4.0 3.8 
US GDP1
2.7 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 
US unemployment4
4.1 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2 
US HPI5
6.5 2.6 2.7 3.0 3.0 
US federal funds rate6
5.1 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.8 
Downside 2
UK GDP1
1.0 (2.3)(1.3)2.6 2.3 
UK unemployment2
4.3 6.2 8.1 6.6 5.5 
UK HPI3
2.8 (24.8)(5.2)10.0 14.6 
UK bank rate6
5.1 3.5 1.7 0.6 1.1 
US GDP1
2.7 (1.3)(1.3)3.3 2.9 
US unemployment4
4.1 5.8 7.2 6.2 5.5 
US HPI5
6.5 (8.0)(0.7)5.2 4.0 
US federal funds rate6
5.1 2.5 0.6 0.8 1.5 
Downside 1
UK GDP1
1.0 (0.5)0.1 2.1 1.9 
UK unemployment2
4.3 5.3 6.3 5.5 5.0 
UK HPI3
2.8 (11.6)(1.8)7.2 8.7 
UK bank rate6
5.1 3.9 2.9 2.3 2.4 
US GDP1
2.7 0.3 0.4 2.7 2.4 
US unemployment4
4.1 5.1 5.7 5.2 4.9 
US HPI5
6.5 (2.7)1.0 4.1 3.5 
US federal funds rate6
5.1 3.4 2.3 2.3 2.7 
Upside 2
UK GDP1
1.0 3.0 3.7 2.9 2.4 
UK unemployment2
4.3 3.8 3.4 3.5 3.5 
UK HPI3
2.8 11.9 8.4 5.1 4.1 
UK bank rate6
5.1 3.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 
US GDP1
2.7 2.8 3.1 2.8 2.8 
US unemployment4
4.1 3.8 3.5 3.5 3.5 
US HPI5
6.5 6.2 4.7 4.8 4.9 
US federal funds rate6
5.1 3.7 3.3 3.1 2.8 
Upside 1
UK GDP1
1.0 2.2 2.6 2.2 2.0 
UK unemployment2
4.3 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 
UK HPI3
2.8 7.6 4.9 4.8 3.5 
UK bank rate6
5.1 4.1 3.5 3.4 3.3 
US GDP1
2.7 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.4 
US unemployment4
4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 
US HPI5
6.5 4.4 3.7 3.9 3.9 
US federal funds rate6
5.1 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.3 

1.Average Real GDP seasonally adjusted change in year.
2.Average UK unemployment rate 16-year+.
3.Change in year end UK HPI = Halifax All Houses, All Buyers index, relative to prior year end.
4.Average US civilian unemployment rate 16-year+.
5.Change in year end US HPI = FHFA House Price Index, relative to prior year end.
6.Average rate.
Scenario weighting
Upside 2Upside 1BaselineDownside 1Downside 2
%%%%%
As at 30 June 2025
Scenario weighting15.5 26.4 34.4 15.2 8.5 
As at 31 December 2024
Scenario weighting17.4 26.8 32.5 14.7 8.6 
Specific bases show the most extreme position of each variable in the context of the downside/upside scenarios. For example, the highest unemployment for downside scenarios, average unemployment for baseline scenarios and lowest unemployment for upside scenarios. GDP and HPI downside and upside scenario data represent the lowest and highest cumulative position relative to the start point in the 20 quarter period.
Macroeconomic variables (specific bases)1
Upside 2Upside 1BaselineDownside 1Downside 2
As at 30 June 2025 % % % % %
UK GDP2
14.5 10.9 1.3 (1.3)(4.0)
UK unemployment3
3.7 4.2 4.6 6.5 8.4 
UK HPI4
35.8 25.0 2.8 (13.2)(28.1)
UK bank rate3
2.5 3.3 3.9 4.6 4.6 
US GDP2
14.8 12.0 1.8 (1.4)(5.3)
US unemployment3
3.9 4.1 4.5 6.5 8.4 
US HPI4
27.1 19.0 2.2 (2.2)(8.4)
US federal funds rate3
2.8 3.3 3.8 4.5 4.5 
As at 31 December 2024
UK GDP2
15.0 11.6 1.4 0.2 (2.9)
UK unemployment3
3.4 3.9 4.4 6.5 8.4 
UK HPI4
36.3 25.9 3.0 (11.3)(26.8)
UK bank rate3
2.8 3.3 4.2 5.3 5.3 
US GDP2
14.9 12.8 2.2 0.4 (2.1)
US unemployment3
3.5 3.8 4.2 5.9 7.5 
US HPI4
30.1 24.4 3.5 1.1 (4.0)
US federal funds rate3
2.8 3.3 4.2 5.3 5.3 
1UK GDP = Real GDP growth seasonally adjusted; UK unemployment = UK unemployment rate 16-year+; UK HPI (31.12.24) = Halifax All Houses, All Buyers Index; UK HPI (30.06.25) = Halifax HPI Meth2 All Houses, All Buyers index; US GDP = Real GDP growth seasonally adjusted; US unemployment = US civilian unemployment rate 16-year+; US HPI = FHFA House Price Index. 20 quarter period starts from Q125 (2024: Q124).
2Maximum growth relative to Q424 (2024: Q423), based on 20 quarter period in Upside scenarios; 5-year yearly average Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) in Baseline; minimum growth relative to Q424 (2024: Q423), based on 20 quarter period in Downside scenarios.
3Lowest quarter in 20 quarter period in Upside scenarios; 5-year average in Baseline; highest quarter 20 quarter period in Downside scenarios.
4Maximum growth relative to Q424 (2024: Q423), based on 20 quarter period in Upside scenarios; 5-year quarter end CAGR in Baseline; minimum growth relative to Q424 (2024: Q423), based on 20 quarter period in Downside scenarios.
Average basis represents the average quarterly value of variables in the 20 quarter period with GDP and HPI based on yearly average and quarterly CAGRs respectively.
Macroeconomic variables (5-year averages)1
Upside 2Upside 1BaselineDownside 1Downside 2
As at 30 June 2025 % % % % %
UK GDP2
2.6 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.5 
UK unemployment3
3.9 4.3 4.6 5.4 6.2 
UK HPI4
6.3 4.6 2.8 0.9 (1.1)
UK bank rate3
3.0 3.5 3.9 2.9 1.6 
US GDP2
2.8 2.3 1.8 1.0 0.1 
US unemployment3
3.9 4.2 4.5 5.4 6.4 
US HPI4
4.9 3.5 2.2 1.9 1.7 
US federal funds rate3
3.1 3.6 3.8 3.3 2.7 
As at 31 December 2024
UK GDP2
2.6 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.5 
UK unemployment3
3.7 4.0 4.4 5.3 6.1 
UK HPI4
6.4 4.7 3.0 0.8 (1.6)
UK bank rate3
3.5 3.9 4.2 3.3 2.4 
US GDP2
2.9 2.5 2.2 1.7 1.2 
US unemployment3
3.7 3.9 4.2 5.0 5.8 
US HPI4
5.4 4.5 3.5 2.4 1.2 
US federal funds rate3
3.6 4.0 4.2 3.2 2.1 
1UK GDP = Real GDP growth seasonally adjusted; UK unemployment = UK unemployment rate 16-year+; UK HPI (31.12.24) = Halifax All Houses, All Buyers Index; UK HPI (30.06.25) = Halifax HPI Meth2 All Houses, All Buyers index; US GDP = Real GDP growth seasonally adjusted; US unemployment = US civilian unemployment rate 16-year+; US HPI = FHFA House Price Index. 20 quarter period starts from Q125 (2024: Q124).
25-year yearly average CAGR, starting 2024 (2024: 2023).
35-year average. Period based on 20 quarters from Q125 (2024: Q124).
45-year quarter end CAGR, starting Q424 (2024: Q423).
Disclosure of non-current assets or disposal groups classified as held for sale
Loans and advances to customers classified as assets held for sale
Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3Total
GrossECLCoverageGrossECLCoverageGrossECLCoverageGrossECLCoverage
As at 30.06.25£m£m%£m£m%£m£m%£m£m%
Retail credit cards - US4,988 55 1.1 613 139 22.7 52 42 80.8 5,653 236 4.2 
Retail credit cards - Germany— — — — — — — — — — — — 
Retail other - Germany— — — — — — — — — — — — 
Corporate loans - US43 2.3 28.6 100.0 51 7.8 
Total
5,031 56 1.1 620 141 22.7 53 43 81.1 5,704 240 4.2 
As at 31.12.24
Retail credit cards - US5,495 64 1.2 689 161 23.4 57 46 80.7 6,241 271 4.3 
Retail credit cards - Germany1,908 18 0.9 307 29 9.4 93 69 74.2 2,308 116 5.0 
Retail other - Germany1,134 16 1.4 220 33 15.0 71 48 67.6 1,425 97 6.8 
Corporate loans - US49 2.0 33.3 100.0 59 8.5 
Total
8,586 99 1.2 1,225 226 18.4 222 164 73.9 10,033 489 4.9 
As at 30.06.25As at 31.12.24
Assets included in disposal groups classified as held for sale£m£m
Loans and advances to customers5,4649,544
Intangible assets1025
Property, plant and equipment24
Other assets111261
Total assets classified as held for sale5,5859,854
Liabilities included in disposal groups classified as held for sale
Deposits from customers3,647
Other liabilities77
Provisions2
Total liabilities classified as held for sale3,726
Net assets classified as held for sale5,5856,128
Disclosure of management Value at Risk
Management VaR (95%) by asset class
Half year ended 30.06.25Half year ended 31.12.24Half year ended 30.06.24
AverageHighLowAverageHighLowAverageHighLow
£m£m£m£m£m£m£m£m£m
Credit risk 162013202417222719
Interest rate risk 152551421616259
Equity risk 81455122694
Basis risk 574564684
Spread risk 574473574
Foreign exchange risk 472473492
Commodity risk 111
Inflation risk 583452452
Diversification effect1
(39) n/a  n/a (32) n/a  n/a (34) n/a  n/a
Total management VaR193110243215293620
1Diversification effects recognise that forecast losses from different assets or businesses are unlikely to occur concurrently, hence the expected aggregate loss is lower than the sum of the expected losses from each area. Historical correlations between losses are taken into account in making these assessments. The high and low VaR figures reported for each category did not necessarily occur on the same day as the high and low total management VaR. Consequently, a diversification effect balance for the high and low VaR figures would not be meaningful and is therefore omitted from the above table.