Summary of Market Risk Structural Interest Rate Sensitivities Measures |
|
Market risk controls – Interest Rate Risk in the Banking Book (IRRBB) positions 1 IRRBB arises primarily from traditional customer-originated banking products such as deposits and loans, and includes related hedges and interest rate risk from securities held for liquidity management purposes. Factors contributing to IRRBB include mismatches between asset and liability repricing dates, relative changes in asset and liability rates in response to market rate scenarios, and other product features affecting the expected timing of cash flows, such as options to pre-pay loans or redeem term deposits prior to contractual maturity. IRRBB sensitivities are regularly measured and reported, and subject to limits and controls with independent oversight from GRM. The Board approves the risk appetite for IRRBB, and the Asset-Liability Committee (ALCO) and GRM provide ongoing governance through IRRBB risk policies, limits, operating standards and other controls. IRRBB reports are reviewed regularly by GRM, ALCO, the GRC, the Risk Committee of the Board and the Board. To monitor and control IRRBB, we assess two primary metrics, Net Interest Income (NII) risk and Economic Value of Equity (EVE) risk, under a range of market shocks, scenarios, and time horizons. Market scenarios include currency-specific parallel and non-parallel yield curve changes, interest rate volatility shocks, and interest rate scenarios prescribed by regulators. In measuring NII risk, detailed banking book balance sheets and income statements are dynamically simulated to estimate the impact of market stress scenarios on projected NII. Assets, liabilities and off-balance sheet positions are simulated over various time horizons. The simulations incorporate maturities, renewals, and new originations along with prepayment and redemption behaviour. Product pricing and volumes are forecasted based on past experience to determine response expectations for a given market shock scenario. EVE risk captures the market value sensitivity to changes in rates. In measuring EVE risk, deterministic (single-scenario) and stochastic (multiple-scenario) valuation techniques are applied to spot position data. NII and EVE risks are measured for a range of market risk stress scenarios which include extreme but plausible changes in market rates and volatilities. IRRBB measures assume continuation of existing hedge strategies. Management of NII and EVE risk is complementary and supports our efforts to generate a sustainable high-quality NII stream. NII and EVE risks for specific units are measured daily, weekly or monthly depending on materiality, complexity and hedge strategy. A number of assumptions affecting cash flows, product re-pricing and the administration of rates underlie the models used to measure NII and EVE risk. The key assumptions pertain to the projected funding date of mortgage rate commitments, fixed-rate loan prepayment behaviour, term deposit redemption behaviour, and the term and rate profile of non-maturity deposits. All assumptions are derived empirically based on historical client behaviour and product pricing with consideration of possible forward-looking changes. All models and assumptions used to measure IRRBB are subject to independent oversight by GRM. Market risk measures – IRRBB Sensitivities The following table shows the potential before-tax impact of an immediate and sustained 100 bps increase or decrease in interest rates on projected 12-month NII and EVE, assuming no subsequent hedging. Rate floors are applied within the declining rate scenarios to prevent EVE valuation and NII simulation market rate levels from falling below a minimum average level of negative 25 bps across major currencies. Interest rate risk measures are based on current on and off-balance sheet positions which can change over time in response to business activity and management actions. |
|
|
|
|
|
Market risk – IRRBB measures* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Millions of Canadian dollars) |
|
Canadian dollar impact |
|
|
U.S. dollar impact |
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
Canadian dollar impact |
|
|
U.S. dollar impact |
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
EVE risk |
|
|
NII risk (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100 bps increase in rates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
(2,009 |
) |
|
$ |
|
|
100 bps decrease in rates |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,537 |
|
|
|
(921 |
) |
* |
|
This table represents an integral part of our 2022 Annual Consolidated Financial Statements. |
(1) |
|
Represents the 12-month NII exposure to an instantaneous and sustained shift in interest rates. |
|
Summary of Contractual Maturities of Financial Liabilities and Off-Balance Sheet Items - Undiscounted Basis |
|
|
|
Contractual maturities of financial liabilities and off-balance sheet items – undiscounted basis* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Millions of Canadian dollars) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Obligations related to securities sold short |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Obligations related to assets sold under repurchase agreements and securities loaned |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commitments to extend credit (2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total financial liabilities and off-balance sheet items |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at October 31, 2021 |
|
(Millions of Canadian dollars) |
|
On demand |
|
|
Within 1 year |
|
|
1 year to 2 years |
|
|
2 years to 5 years |
|
|
5 years and greater |
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
576,161 |
|
|
$ |
367,389 |
|
|
$ |
44,951 |
|
|
$ |
78,071 |
|
|
$ |
33,063 |
|
|
$ |
1,099,635 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
19,867 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
– |
|
|
|
– |
|
|
|
19,873 |
|
Obligations related to securities sold short |
|
|
– |
|
|
|
37,462 |
|
|
|
– |
|
|
|
– |
|
|
|
– |
|
|
|
37,462 |
|
Obligations related to assets sold under repurchase agreements and securities loaned |
|
|
19,234 |
|
|
|
242,314 |
|
|
|
669 |
|
|
|
– |
|
|
|
– |
|
|
|
262,217 |
|
|
|
|
620 |
|
|
|
35,984 |
|
|
|
384 |
|
|
|
544 |
|
|
|
7,873 |
|
|
|
45,405 |
|
|
|
|
– |
|
|
|
631 |
|
|
|
582 |
|
|
|
1,522 |
|
|
|
2,342 |
|
|
|
5,077 |
|
|
|
|
– |
|
|
|
188 |
|
|
|
110 |
|
|
|
1,916 |
|
|
|
7,392 |
|
|
|
9,606 |
|
|
|
|
596,016 |
|
|
|
703,835 |
|
|
|
46,701 |
|
|
|
82,053 |
|
|
|
50,670 |
|
|
|
1,479,275 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
16,867 |
|
|
$ |
– |
|
|
$ |
– |
|
|
$ |
– |
|
|
$ |
– |
|
|
$ |
16,867 |
|
|
|
|
– |
|
|
|
81 |
|
|
|
82 |
|
|
|
209 |
|
|
|
344 |
|
|
|
716 |
|
Commitments to extend credit (2) |
|
|
248,594 |
|
|
|
41,238 |
|
|
|
77 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
– |
|
|
|
289,911 |
|
|
|
|
265,461 |
|
|
|
41,319 |
|
|
|
159 |
|
|
|
211 |
|
|
|
344 |
|
|
|
307,494 |
|
Total financial liabilities and off-balance sheet items |
|
$ |
861,477 |
|
|
$ |
745,154 |
|
|
$ |
46,860 |
|
|
$ |
82,264 |
|
|
$ |
51,014 |
|
|
$ |
1,786,769 |
|
* |
|
This table represents an integral part of our 2022 Annual Consolidated Financial Statements. |
(1) |
|
A major portion of relationship-based deposits are repayable on demand or at short notice on a contractual basis while, in practice, these customer balances form a core base for our operations and liquidity needs, as explained in the preceding Deposit and funding profile. |
(2) |
|
We believe that it is highly unlikely that all or substantially all of these guarantees and commitments will be drawn or settled within one year, and contracts may expire without being drawn or settled. The management of the liquidity risk associated with potential extensions of funds is outlined in the preceding Risk measurement section. |
(3) |
|
Includes commitments related to short-term and low-dollar value leases, leases not yet commenced, and lease payments related to non-recoverable tax. |
|