Attachment: 8-K


Document

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Two Harbors Investment Corp. Reports Second Quarter 2020 Financial Results
Strong Quarterly Performance Resulting From Market Recovery

NEW YORK, August 5, 2020 - Two Harbors Investment Corp. (NYSE: TWO), a leading mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), mortgage servicing rights (MSR) and other financial assets, today announced its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2020.
Quarterly Summary
Reported book value of $6.70 per common share, representing a (1.0%) quarterly return on book value.(1) Excluding $0.54 of previously anticipated one-time costs associated with terminating the management agreement, book value would have been $7.24, representing a 6.8% quarterly return on book value.(1)
Generated Comprehensive Income of $279.0 thousand, representing an annualized return on average common equity of 0.1%.
Reported Core Earnings of ($14.5) million, or ($0.05) per weighted average basic common share.(2)
Declared an interim common stock dividend of $0.05 on April 6, 2020. Declared a second quarter common stock dividend of $0.14 per share. Continue to believe our portfolio is capable of generating future gross returns in the mid-double digits as we deploy additional capital, increase leverage and reduce expenses following the transition to self-management.
Resumed MSR flow-sale program with all sellers; added $4.1 billion unpaid principal balance (UPB) of MSR through these arrangements.
At June 30, 2020, 6.5% of our MSR portfolio by loan count was in forbearance, of which 37.4% of borrowers had made their June payment.
Liquidity position remains strong with $1.6 billion in unrestricted cash at June 30, 2020.

Company Update
Estimate total return on book value for July 2020 of approximately (1.0%).
Expect meaningful increase in Core Earnings in the third quarter; anticipated range of $0.22 to $0.26 per weighted average basic common share.
At July 28, 2020, approximately 5.8% of our MSR portfolio by loan count was in forbearance, of which approximately 32.2% of borrowers had made their July payment.
Added approximately $4.5 billion UPB of MSR flow commitments in July.
In final stages of closing one servicing advance-only facility and working sequentially on another combined MSR asset and advance facility.
Announced on July 21, 2020 that the Board of Directors terminated the management agreement “for cause,” which carries with it no termination payment.

“We are very pleased with our second quarter results. Our liquidity is excellent and there are very attractive opportunities ahead of us,” stated Bill Greenberg, Two Harbors’ President and Chief Executive Officer. “Although the events of the first half of the year were tumultuous, we still believe that our current strategy of pairing Agency RMBS with MSR will result in more attractive and higher quality risk-adjusted returns over the long-term. We couldn’t be more confident in our team and in our ability to execute on our strategy.”


(1) Return on book value is defined as the increase (decrease) in book value per common share from the beginning to the end of the given period, plus dividends declared in the period, divided by book value as of the beginning of the period.
(2) Core Earnings is a non-GAAP measure. Please see page 11 for a definition of Core Earnings and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial information.
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Operating Performance
The following table summarizes the company’s GAAP and non-GAAP earnings measurements and key metrics for the first and second quarter of 2020:
Two Harbors Investment Corp. Operating Performance (unaudited)








(dollars in thousands, except per common share data)



Three Months Ended
June 30, 2020

Three Months Ended
March 31, 2020
Earnings attributable to common stockholders
 Earnings

 Per weighted average basic common share

Annualized return on average common equity

 Earnings

 Per weighted average basic common share

Annualized return on average common equity
Comprehensive Income (Loss) $279  

$—  

0.1 %

$(2,086,676) $(7.63) (225.2)%
GAAP Net Loss$(192,515) 

$(0.70) 

(40.7)%

$(1,888,606) $(6.91) (203.8)%
Core Earnings(1)
$(14,491) 

$(0.05) 

(3.1)%

$67,617  $0.25  7.3 %
Operating Metrics











Dividend per common share
$0.19  





$—  




Annualized dividend yield(2)
15.1 %— %
Book value per common share at period end
$6.70  





$6.96  




Return on book value(3)
(1.0)%(52.1)%
Other operating expenses, excluding non-cash LTIP amortization(4)
$13,838  





$13,482  




Other operating expenses, excluding non-cash LTIP amortization, as a percentage of average equity(4)
1.6 %1.1 %
___________
(1)Please see page 11 for a definition of Core Earnings and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial information.
(2)Dividend yield is calculated based on annualizing the dividends declared in the given period, divided by the closing share price as of the end of the period.
(3)Return on book value is defined as the increase (decrease) in book value per common share from the beginning to the end of the given period, plus dividends declared in the period, divided by the book value as of the beginning of the period.
(4)Excludes non-cash equity compensation expense of $2.3 million for the second quarter of 2020 and $2.3 million for the first quarter of 2020.



“In the second quarter, our positive performance was driven by the reflation in specified pools following the extreme stress of March,” stated Matt Koeppen, Two Harbors’ Chief Investment Officer. “We added modestly to our RMBS portfolio, deploying risk as we became more confident in our liquidity position. Looking forward, we intend to prudently increase our portfolio of RMBS and MSR in the second half of 2020. When we do increase our risk profile, we expect that the resultant leverage will be in the range of 8 to 9 times.”



Portfolio Summary
The company’s portfolio is comprised of $19.0 billion of Agency RMBS, Agency Derivatives and MSR as well as their associated notional hedges as of June 30, 2020. Additionally, the company held $3.4 billion bond equivalent value of net long to-be-announced securities (TBAs).





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The following tables summarize the company’s investment portfolio as of June 30, 2020 and March 31, 2020:
Two Harbors Investment Corp. Portfolio
(dollars in thousands)

Portfolio Composition
As of June 30, 2020As of March 31, 2020
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Agency
Fixed Rate
$17,637,205  92.7 %$17,692,839  91.6 %
Other Agency(1)
85,065  0.5 %87,096  0.5 %
Total Agency
17,722,270  93.2 %17,779,935  92.1 %
Mortgage servicing rights
1,279,195  6.7 %1,505,163  7.8 %
Other23,180  0.1 %26,400  0.1 %
Aggregate Portfolio19,024,645  19,311,498  
Net TBA position(2)
3,438,881  1,846,871  
Total Portfolio$22,463,526  $21,158,369  
Portfolio Metrics
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2020
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2020
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Annualized portfolio yield during the quarter(3)
2.84 %3.52 %
Annualized cost of funds on average borrowing balance during the quarter(4)
2.61 %2.39 %
Annualized net yield for aggregate portfolio during the quarter
0.23 %1.13 %
________________
(1)Other Agency includes hybrid ARMs and Agency derivatives.
(2)Represents bond equivalent value of TBA position. Bond equivalent value is defined as notional amount multiplied by market price. Accounted for as derivative instruments in accordance with GAAP.
(3)Includes interest income on RMBS and servicing income net of servicing expenses and amortization on MSR.
(4)Cost of funds includes interest spread income/expense associated with the portfolio's interest rate swaps.

Portfolio Metrics Specific to RMBS and Agency Derivatives
As of June 30, 2020As of March 31, 2020
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Weighted average cost basis of Agency principal and interest securities(5)
$104.88  $104.97  
Weighted average three month CPR on Agency RMBS
19.9 %12.3 %
Fixed-rate investments as a percentage of aggregate RMBS and Agency Derivatives portfolio
99.4 %99.4 %
Adjustable-rate investments as a percentage of aggregate RMBS and Agency Derivatives portfolio
0.6 %0.6 %
______________
(5) Weighted average cost basis includes RMBS principal and interest securities only. Average purchase price utilized carrying value for weighting purposes.

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Portfolio Metrics Specific to MSR(1)
As of June 30, 2020As of March 31, 2020
(dollars in thousands)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Unpaid principal balance
$163,493,573  $179,714,087  
Fair market value
$1,279,195  $1,505,163  
Gross weighted average coupon
4.0%4.1 %
Weighted average original FICO score(2)
754754
Weighted average original LTV
75%75 %
60+ day delinquencies
3.9%0.3 %
Net servicing fee27.3 basis points27.3 basis points
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2020
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2020
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Fair value losses
$(238,791) $(586,665) 
Servicing income
$112,891  $130,797  
Servicing expenses
$23,876  $19,624  
Change in servicing reserves
$39  $232  
________________
Note: The company does not directly service mortgage loans, but instead contracts with appropriately licensed subservicers to handle substantially all servicing functions in the name of the subservicer for the loans underlying the company’s MSR.
(1) Metrics exclude residential mortgage loans in securitization trusts for which the company is the named servicing administrator.
(2) FICO represents a mortgage industry accepted credit score of a borrower.
Other Investments and Risk Management Metrics
As of June 30, 2020As of March 31, 2020
(dollars in thousands)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Net long TBA notional amount(3)
$3,236,000  $1,761,000  
Interest rate swaps notional, utilized to economically hedge interest rate exposure (or duration)
$4,479,000  $56,158,068  
Swaptions net notional, utilized as macroeconomic hedges
—  1,376,000  
Total interest rate swaps and swaptions notional
$4,479,000  $57,534,068  
________________
(3) Accounted for as derivative instruments in accordance with GAAP.


Financing Summary
The following tables summarize the company’s financing metrics and outstanding repurchase agreements, FHLB advances, revolving credit facilities, term notes and convertible senior notes as of June 30, 2020 and March 31, 2020:
June 30, 2020
Balance
Weighted Average Borrowing Rate
Weighted Average Months to Maturity
Number of Distinct Counterparties
(dollars in thousands, unaudited)
Repurchase agreements collateralized by RMBS$16,991,248  0.65 %1.56  20
Revolving credit facilities collateralized by MSR267,181  2.66 %8.50   
Term notes payable collateralized by MSR

395,048  

2.98 %

47.87  

n/a
Unsecured convertible senior notes285,515  6.25 %18.53  
n/a
Total borrowings$17,938,992  
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March 31, 2020

Balance

Weighted Average Borrowing Rate

Weighted Average Months to Maturity

Number of Distinct Counterparties
(dollars in thousands, unaudited)
















Repurchase agreements collateralized by RMBS

17,795,516  

1.86 %

1.76  

22
FHLB advances collateralized by RMBS(1)

50,000  

2.39 %

174.64  

 
Revolving credit facilities collateralized by MSR

252,143  

3.49 %11.53  

 
Term notes payable collateralized by MSR394,772  3.72 %50.86  
n/a
Unsecured convertible senior notes

285,238  

6.25 %

21.53  

n/a
Total borrowings

$18,777,669  






________________
(1) The company’s wholly owned subsidiary, TH Insurance Holdings Company LLC (TH Insurance), is a member of the FHLB.  As a member of the FHLB, TH Insurance has access to a variety of products and services offered by the FHLB, including secured advances. However, the Company currently does not have any outstanding secured advances or any credit capacity available.

Borrowings by Collateral TypeAs of June 30, 2020As of March 31, 2020
(dollars in thousands)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Collateral type:
Agency RMBS and Agency Derivatives
$16,988,592  $17,837,978  
Mortgage servicing rights
662,229  646,915  
Other - secured2,656  7,538  
Other - unsecured(2)
285,515  285,238  
Total$17,938,992  $18,777,669  
Debt-to-equity ratio at period-end(3)
6.3 :1.06.5 :1.0
Economic debt-to-equity ratio at period-end(4)
7.4 :1.07.0 :1.0
Cost of Funds Metrics
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2020
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2020
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Annualized cost of funds on average borrowings during the quarter:
1.4 %2.2 %
Agency RMBS and Agency Derivatives
1.2 %2.0 %
Mortgage servicing rights(5)
3.8 %4.7 %
Other - secured2.7 %3.0 %
Other - unsecured(2)(5)
6.7 %6.7 %
____________________
(2)Includes unsecured convertible senior notes.
(3)Defined as total borrowings to fund RMBS, MSR and Agency Derivatives, divided by total equity.
(4)Defined as total borrowings to fund RMBS, MSR and Agency Derivatives, plus the implied debt on net TBA positions, divided by total equity.
(5)Includes amortization of debt issuance costs.


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Conference Call
Two Harbors Investment Corp. will host a conference call on August 6, 2020 at 9:00 a.m. EDT to discuss second quarter 2020 financial results and related information. To participate in the teleconference, please call toll-free (866) 548-4713, conference code 4616655, approximately 10 minutes prior to the above start time. You may also listen to the teleconference live via the Internet on the company’s website at www.twoharborsinvestment.com in the Investor Relations section under the Events and Presentations link. For those unable to attend, a telephone playback will be available beginning at 12:00 p.m. EDT on August 6, 2020, through 12:00 a.m. EDT on August 13, 2020. The playback can be accessed by calling (888) 203-1112 , conference code 4616655. The call will also be archived on the company’s website in the Investor Relations section under the Events and Presentations link.

Two Harbors Investment Corp.
Two Harbors Investment Corp., a Maryland corporation, is a real estate investment trust that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities, mortgage servicing rights and other financial assets. Two Harbors is headquartered in Minnetonka, MN, and is externally managed and advised by PRCM Advisers LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Pine River Capital Management L.P. Additional information is available at www.twoharborsinvestment.com.

Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ from expectations, estimates and projections and, consequently, readers should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Words such as “expect,” “target,” “assume,” “estimate,” “project,” “budget,” “forecast,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “may,” “will,” “could,” “should,” “believe,” “predicts,” “potential,” “continue,” and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results, including, among other things, those described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019, and any subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, under the caption “Risk Factors.” Factors that could cause actual results to differ include, but are not limited to: the state of credit markets and general economic conditions; the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the actions taken by federal and state authorities and GSEs response, on the U.S. economy, financial markets and our target assets; changes in interest rates and the market value of our assets; changes in prepayment rates of mortgages underlying our target assets; the rates of default or decreased recovery on the mortgages underlying our target assets; the occurrence, extent and timing of credit losses within our portfolio; the concentration of credit risks we are exposed to; declines in home prices; our ability to establish, adjust and maintain appropriate hedges for the risks in our portfolio; the availability and cost of our target assets; the availability and cost of financing; changes in the competitive landscape within our industry; our ability to effectively execute and to realize the benefits of strategic transactions and initiatives we have pursued or may in the future pursue; our decision to terminate our management agreement with PRCM Advisers LLC and our ability to successfully transition to a self-managed company; our ability to manage various operational risks and costs associated with our business; interruptions in or impairments to our communications and information technology systems; our ability to acquire MSR and successfully operate our seller-servicer subsidiary and oversee our subservicers; the impact of any deficiencies in the servicing or foreclosure practices of third parties and related delays in the foreclosure process; our exposure to legal and regulatory claims; legislative and regulatory actions affecting our business; the impact of new or modified government mortgage refinance or principal reduction programs; our ability to maintain our REIT qualification; and limitations imposed on our business due to our REIT status and our exempt status under the Investment Company Act of 1940.

Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance upon any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made. Two Harbors does not undertake or accept any obligation to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement to reflect any change in its expectations or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Additional information concerning these and other risk factors is contained in Two Harbors’ most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements concerning Two Harbors or matters attributable to Two Harbors or any person acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements above.
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Non-GAAP Financial Measures
In addition to disclosing financial results calculated in accordance with United States generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), this press release and the accompanying investor presentation present non-GAAP financial measures, such as Core Earnings and Core Earnings per basic common share that exclude certain items. The non-GAAP financial measures presented by the company provide supplemental information to assist investors in analyzing the company’s results of operations and help facilitate comparisons to industry peers. However, because these measures are not calculated in accordance with GAAP, they should not be considered a substitute for, or superior to, the financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP. The company’s GAAP financial results and the reconciliations from these results should be carefully evaluated. See the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation table on page 11 of this release.

Additional Information
Stockholders of Two Harbors and other interested persons may find additional information regarding the company at the SEC’s Internet site at www.sec.gov or by directing requests to: Two Harbors Investment Corp., Attn: Investor Relations, 601 Carlson Parkway, Suite 1400, Minnetonka, MN, 55305, telephone (612) 453-4100.

Contact
Margaret F. Karr, Investor Relations, Two Harbors Investment Corp., (612) 446-5431 or
margaret.karr@twoharborsinvestment.com 

# # #
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TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(dollars in thousands, except share data)
June 30,
2020
December 31,
2019
(unaudited)
ASSETS
Available-for-sale securities, at fair value (amortized cost $17,030,405; allowance for credit losses $42,583)
$17,673,289  $31,406,328  
Mortgage servicing rights, at fair value1,279,195  1,909,444  
Cash and cash equivalents1,615,639  558,136  
Restricted cash434,644  1,058,690  
Accrued interest receivable53,480  92,634  
Due from counterparties72,010  318,963  
Derivative assets, at fair value110,527  188,051  
Reverse repurchase agreements76,416  220,000  
Other assets167,122  169,376  
Total Assets$21,482,322  $35,921,622  
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
Liabilities
Repurchase agreements$16,991,248  $29,147,463  
Federal Home Loan Bank advances—  210,000  
Revolving credit facilities267,181  300,000  
Term notes payable395,048  394,502  
Convertible senior notes285,515  284,954  
Derivative liabilities, at fair value1,298  6,740  
Due to counterparties419,092  259,447  
Dividends payable57,269  128,125  
Accrued interest payable36,710  149,626  
Commitments and contingencies—  —  
Other liabilities193,025  70,299  
Total Liabilities18,646,386  30,951,156  
Stockholders’ Equity
Preferred stock, par value $0.01 per share; 50,000,000 shares authorized and 40,050,000 and 40,050,000 shares issued and outstanding, respectively ($1,001,250 and $1,001,250 liquidation preference, respectively)
977,501  977,501  
Common stock, par value $0.01 per share; 450,000,000 shares authorized and 273,700,059 and 272,935,731 shares issued and outstanding, respectively
2,737  2,729  
Additional paid-in capital5,158,559  5,154,764  
Accumulated other comprehensive income684,124  689,400  
Cumulative earnings612,671  2,655,891  
Cumulative distributions to stockholders(4,599,656) (4,509,819) 
Total Stockholders’ Equity2,835,936  4,970,466  
Total Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity$21,482,322  $35,921,622  
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TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS)
(dollars in thousands)
Certain prior period amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current period presentation
Three Months Ended
June 30,
Six Months Ended
June 30,
2020201920202019
(unaudited)(unaudited)
Interest income:
Available-for-sale securities$105,730  $253,807  $354,414  $489,693  
Other1,597  7,222  8,420  16,819  
Total interest income107,327  261,029  362,834  506,512  
Interest expense:
Repurchase agreements50,811  177,351  203,416  324,911  
Federal Home Loan Bank advances155  3,941  1,747  10,015  
Revolving credit facilities2,826  6,196  6,357  11,352  
Term notes payable3,553  231  8,357  231  
Convertible senior notes4,769  4,724  9,545  9,459  
Total interest expense62,114  192,443  229,422  355,968  
Net interest income45,213  68,586  133,412  150,544  
Other-than-temporary impairment losses—  (4,848) —  (5,054) 
Other income (loss):
Gain (loss) on investment securities53,492  22,441  (1,028,115) 3,149  
Servicing income112,891  130,949  243,688  247,897  
Loss on servicing asset(238,791) (252,432) (825,456) (441,406) 
Loss on interest rate swap, cap and swaption agreements(46,922) (88,775) (297,518) (172,034) 
Gain (loss) on other derivative instruments76,606  80,664  (56,862) 184,942  
Other income (loss)66  (341) 864  (218) 
Total other loss(42,658) (107,494) (1,963,399) (177,670) 
Expenses:
Management fees11,429  13,635  25,979  25,717  
Servicing expenses23,947  16,746  43,852  36,658  
Other operating expenses13,838  14,013  28,916  29,569  
Restructuring charges145,069  —  145,788  —  
Total expenses194,283  44,394  244,535  91,944  
Loss before income taxes(191,728) (88,150) (2,074,522) (124,124) 
(Benefit from) provision for income taxes(18,164) 2,407  (31,302) (7,632) 
Net loss(173,564) (90,557) (2,043,220) (116,492) 
Dividends on preferred stock18,951  18,950  37,901  37,900  
Net loss attributable to common stockholders$(192,515) $(109,507) $(2,081,121) $(154,392) 
Basic loss per weighted average common share
$(0.70) $(0.40) $(7.61) $(0.59) 
Diluted loss per weighted average common share$(0.70) $(0.40) $(7.61) $(0.59) 
Dividends declared per common share$0.19  $0.40  $0.19  $0.87  
Weighted average number of shares of common stock:
Basic273,604,079  272,863,153  273,498,347  262,667,160  
Diluted
273,604,079  272,863,153  273,498,347  262,667,160  
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TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS), CONTINUED
(dollars in thousands)
Certain prior period amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current period presentation
Three Months Ended
June 30,
Six Months Ended
June 30,
2020201920202019
(unaudited)(unaudited)
Comprehensive income (loss):
Net loss$(173,564) $(90,557) $(2,043,220) $(116,492) 
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax:
Unrealized gain (loss) on available-for-sale securities192,794  310,549  (5,276) 666,701  
Other comprehensive income (loss)192,794  310,549  (5,276) 666,701  
Comprehensive income (loss)19,230  219,992  (2,048,496) 550,209  
Dividends on preferred stock18,951  18,950  37,901  37,900  
Comprehensive income (loss) attributable to common stockholders
$279  $201,042  $(2,086,397) $512,309  
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TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP.
RECONCILIATION OF GAAP TO NON-GAAP FINANCIAL INFORMATION
(dollars in thousands, except share data)
Certain prior period amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current period presentation

Three Months Ended
June 30,
Three Months Ended
March 31,

20202019

(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Reconciliation of Comprehensive income (loss) to Core Earnings:


Comprehensive income (loss) attributable to common stockholders$279  $(2,086,676) 
Adjustment for other comprehensive (income) loss attributable to common stockholders:

Unrealized (gain) loss on available-for-sale securities
(192,794) 198,070  
Net loss attributable to common stockholders$(192,515) $(1,888,606) 


Adjustments for non-Core Earnings:

Realized (gain) loss on securities
(54,795) 1,035,038  
Unrealized loss on securities
110  931  
Provision for credit losses
1,193  45,638  
Realized and unrealized loss on mortgage servicing rights
176,916  511,059  
Realized loss (gain) on termination or expiration of swaps and swaptions
747,055  (361,853) 
Unrealized (gain) loss on interest rate swaps and swaptions
(756,464) 599,834  
(Gain) loss on other derivative instruments(64,744) 138,819  
Other loss (income)
61  (735) 
Change in servicing reserves
39  232  
Non-cash equity compensation expense
2,398  2,315  
Restructuring charges
145,069  719  
Net benefit from income taxes on non-Core Earnings
(18,814) (15,774) 
Core Earnings attributable to common stockholders(1)
$(14,491) $67,617  



Weighted average basic common shares
273,604,079  273,392,615  
Core Earnings attributable to common stockholders per weighted average basic common share
$(0.05) $0.25  
_____________
(1)Core Earnings is a non-U.S. GAAP measure that we define as comprehensive income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, excluding “realized and unrealized gains and losses” (impairment losses, provision for credit losses, realized and unrealized gains and losses on the aggregate portfolio, reserve expense for representation and warranty obligations on MSR, non-cash compensation expense related to restricted common stock and restructuring charges). As defined, Core Earnings includes net interest income, accrual and settlement of interest on derivatives, dollar roll income on TBAs, servicing income, net of estimated amortization on MSR, management fees and recurring cash related operating expenses. Dollar roll income is the economic equivalent to holding and financing Agency RMBS using short-term repurchase agreements. Core Earnings provides supplemental information to assist investors in analyzing the Company’s results of operations and helps facilitate comparisons to industry peers.

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TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP.
SUMMARY OF QUARTERLY CORE EARNINGS
(dollars in millions, except per share data)
Certain prior period amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current period presentation


Three Months Ended

June 30,
2020
March 31,
2020
December 31,
2019
September 30,
2019
June 30,
2019

(unaudited)
Net Interest Income:





Interest income
$107.3  $255.5  $237.3  $251.1  $269.1  
Interest expense
62.1  167.3  167.3  191.1  192.4  
Net interest income
45.2  88.2  70.0  60.0  76.7  
Other income:
Servicing income, net of amortization(1)
51.0  55.2  54.6  52.7  52.7  
Interest spread on interest rate swaps
(56.3) (12.6) 4.8  19.1  22.9  
Gain on other derivative instruments
11.9  5.3  9.0  —  16.7  
Other income
0.1  0.1  0.1  0.4  0.5  
Total other income
6.7  48.0  68.5  72.2  92.8  
Expenses
46.8  47.0  49.4  46.2  42.9  
Core Earnings before income taxes
5.1  89.2  89.1  86.0  126.6  
Income tax expense
0.6  2.6  2.5  2.0  1.6  
Core Earnings
4.5  86.6  86.6  84.0  125.0  
Dividends on preferred stock
19.0  19.0  18.9  19.0  19.0  
Core Earnings attributable to common stockholders(2)
$(14.5) $67.6  $67.7  $65.0  $106.0  
Weighted average basic Core EPS
$(0.05) $0.25  $0.25  $0.24  $0.39  
Core earnings return on average common equity
(3.1)%7.3 %6.8 %6.5 %11.1 %
________________
(1)Amortization refers to the portion of change in fair value of MSR primarily attributed to the realization of expected cash flows (runoff) of the portfolio. This amortization has been deducted from Core Earnings. Amortization of MSR is deemed a non-GAAP measure due to the company’s decision to account for MSR at fair value.
(2)Please see page 11 for a definition of Core Earnings and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial information.


- 12 -

twoq22020earningscallpre
Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Call AUGUST 6, 2020


 
Safe Harbor Statement FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ from expectations, estimates and projections and, consequently, readers should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Words such as “expect,” “target,” “assume,” “estimate,” “project,” “budget,” “forecast,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “plan,” “may,” “will,” “could,” “should,” “believe,” “predicts,” “potential,” “continue,” and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results, including, among other things, those described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019, and any subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, under the caption “Risk Factors.” Factors that could cause actual results to differ include, but are not limited to: the state of credit markets and general economic conditions; the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the actions taken by federal and state governmental authorities and GSEs in response, on the U.S. economy, financial markets and our target assets; changes in interest rates and the market value of our assets; changes in prepayment rates of mortgages underlying our target assets; the rates of default or decreased recovery on the mortgages underlying our target assets; the occurrence, extent and timing of credit losses within our portfolio; the concentration of credit risks we are exposed to; declines in home prices; our ability to establish, adjust and maintain appropriate hedges for the risks in our portfolio; the availability and cost of our target assets; the availability and cost of financing; changes in the competitive landscape within our industry; our ability to effectively execute and to realize the benefits of strategic transactions and initiatives we have pursued or may in the future pursue; our decision to terminate our management agreement with PRCM Advisers LLC and our ability to successfully transition to a self-managed company; our ability to manage various operational risks and costs associated with our business; interruptions in or impairments to our communications and information technology systems; our ability to acquire mortgage servicing rights (MSR) and successfully operate our seller-servicer subsidiary and oversee our subservicers; the impact of any deficiencies in the servicing or foreclosure practices of third parties and related delays in the foreclosure process; our exposure to legal and regulatory claims; legislative and regulatory actions affecting our business; the impact of new or modified government mortgage refinance or principal reduction programs; our ability to maintain our REIT qualification; and limitations imposed on our business due to our REIT status and our exempt status under the Investment Company Act of 1940. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance upon any forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made. Two Harbors does not undertake or accept any obligation to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement to reflect any change in its expectations or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. Additional information concerning these and other risk factors is contained in Two Harbors’ most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements concerning Two Harbors or matters attributable to Two Harbors or any person acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements above. This presentation may include industry and market data obtained through research, surveys, and studies conducted by third parties and industry publications. We have not independently verified any such market and industry data from third-party sources. This presentation is provided for discussion purposes only and may not be relied upon as legal or investment advice, nor is it intended to be inclusive of all the risks and uncertainties that should be considered. This presentation does not constitute an offer to purchase or sell any securities, nor shall it be construed to be indicative of the terms of an offer that the parties or their respective affiliates would accept. Readers are advised that the financial information in this presentation is based on company data available at the time of this presentation and, in certain circumstances, may not have been audited by the company’s independent auditors. 2


 
Executive Overview Strong Quarterly Performance Resulting From Market Recovery Quarterly Summary • Reported book value of $6.70 per common share, representing a (1.0%) quarterly return on book value(1). Excluding $0.54 of previously anticipated one-time costs associated with terminating the management agreement, book value would have been $7.24, representing a 6.8% quarterly return on book value.(1) • Generated Comprehensive Income of $279.0 thousand, representing an annualized return on average common equity of 0.1%. • Reported Core Earnings of ($14.5) million, or ($0.05) per weighted average basic common share.(2) • Declared an interim common stock dividend of $0.05 on April 6, 2020. Declared a second quarter common stock dividend of $0.14 per share. Continue to believe our portfolio is capable of generating future gross returns in the mid-double digits as we deploy additional capital, increase leverage and reduce expenses following the transition to self-management. • Resumed MSR flow-sale program with all sellers; added $4.1 billion unpaid principal balance (UPB) of MSR through these arrangements. • At June 30, 2020, 6.5% of our MSR portfolio by loan count was in forbearance, of which 37.4% of borrowers had made their June payment. • Liquidity position remains strong with $1.6 billion in unrestricted cash at June 30, 2020. Company Update • Estimate total return on book value for July 2020 of approximately (1.0%). • Expect meaningful increase in Core Earnings in the third quarter; anticipated range of $0.22 to $0.26 per weighted average basic common share. • At July 28, 2020, approximately 5.8% of our MSR portfolio by loan count was in forbearance, of which approximately 32.2% of borrowers had made their July payment. • Added approximately $4.5 billion UPB of MSR flow commitments in July. • In final stages of closing one servicing advance-only facility and working sequentially on another combined MSR asset and advance facility. • Announced on July 21, 2020 that the Board of Directors terminated the management agreement “for cause,” which carries with it no termination payment. (1) Return on book value is defined as the increase (decrease) in book value per common share from the beginning to the end of the given period, plus dividends declared in the period, divided by book value as of the beginning of the period. 3 (2) Core Earnings is a non-GAAP measure. Please see Appendix slide 23 for a definition of Core Earnings and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial information.


 
Two Harbors Today STRATEGY FOCUSED ON AGENCY RMBS PAIRED WITH MSR • Agency-only mortgage REIT • Portfolio constructed almost entirely of Agency RMBS paired with MSR • Continue to believe that this strategy has a higher return potential with lower mortgage spread risk • Expect to continue to grow MSR holdings through strategic partnerships with servicers and originators KEY PILLARS OF TWO HARBORS SUCCESS ✓ Unique strategy of pairing MSR with Agency RMBS ✓ Robust and sophisticated risk management practices ✓ Committed to highest standards of corporate governance ✓ Dedicated to stockholder engagement and transparency 4


 
Book Value Summary Q2-2020 YTD-2020 Q2-2020 Book Value YTD-2020 Book Value (Dollars in millions, except per share data) Book Value per share Book Value per share Beginning common stockholders’ equity $ 1,902.8 $ 6.96 $ 3,969.2 $ 14.54 • Book value of $6.70 GAAP Net Loss: per common share, Core Earnings, net of tax(1) 4.5 91.1 represented a (1.0%) quarterly return on Dividend declaration - preferred (19.0) (38.0) book value(2). Excluding Core Earnings attributable to common (1) $0.54 of previously stockholders, net of tax (14.5) 53.1 anticipated one-time Realized and unrealized gains and losses, costs associated with net of tax (178.0) (2,134.2) terminating the Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax 192.8 (5.3) management agreement, book value Preferred stock dividends in arrears — 19.0 would have been Preferred stock dividends in arrears subsequently $7.24, representing a declared (19.0) (19.0) 6.8% quarterly return (2) Common stock dividends declared (51.9) (51.9) on book value. Other 2.3 4.6 Repurchases of common stock — (1.1) Issuance of common stock, net of offering costs 0.1 0.2 Ending common stockholders’ equity $ 1,834.6 $6.70 $ 1,834.6 $6.70 Total preferred stock liquidation preference 1,001.3 1,001.3 Ending total equity $ 2,835.9 $ 2,835.9 (1) Core Earnings is a non-GAAP measure. Please see Appendix slide 23 for a definition of Core Earnings and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial information. 5 (2) Return on book value is defined as the increase (decrease) in book value per common share from the beginning to the end of the given period, plus dividends declared in the period, divided by book value as of the beginning of the period.


 
Swap Book Re-strike • Historical swap position transacted in higher rate environment; due to portfolio re-positioning and margining requirements, significant changes in swap positions were executed in late March when 3-month LIBOR was extremely stressed • Re-striking swap position in June materially reduced annualized swaps costs from $344 million in net swap interest spread expense to $1 million in net swap interest spread income(1) • Expected to positively impact our net interest margin, Core Earnings and taxable income SWAP POSITION AT MAY 31, 2020 Annualized Net Current Notional (Pay)/Receive Swap Number of Open Amounts ($ Weighted Avg. Weighted Avg. Spread ($ in DV01(2) Weighted Avg. Position Positions billions) Pay Rate Receive Rate thousands) ($ in thousands) Years to Maturity Payer 76 $ 32.6 1.809 % 0.778 % $ (336,717) $ (9,893) 3.11 Receiver 30 24.7 0.968 % 0.940 % (6,905) 9,616 3.80 Total 106 $ 57.3 1.447 % 0.848 % $ (343,622) $ (277) 3.40 SWAP POSITION AT JUNE 30, 2020 Annualized Net Current Notional (Pay)/Receive Swap Number of Open Amounts ($ Weighted Avg. Weighted Avg. Spread ($ in DV01(2) Weighted Avg. Position Positions billions) Pay Rate Receive Rate thousands) ($ in thousands) Years to Maturity Payer 3 $ 3.8 0.116 % 0.080 % $ (1,360) $ (1,752) 4.57 Receiver 1 0.7 0.080 % 0.419 % 2,373 688 9.76 Total 4 $ 4.5 0.110 % 0.133 % $ 1,013 $ (1,064) 5.38 (1) Annualized swap costs at May 31, 2020 use the rates on that date over a 12-month period. 6 (2) DV01 stands for abbreviation for "dollar value per 01," which refers to the dollar duration which measures the dollar change in a bonds value to a change in the market interest rate. The dollar duration is used to approximate a portfolio's interest rate risk.


 
Core Earnings Review(1)  ($ in millions, except per share data) Q1-2020 Q2-2020 Variance ($) • Second quarter Core Earnings results Interest income $ 255.5 $ 107.3 $ (148.2) impacted by: Interest expense 167.3 62.1 105.2 ◦Lower net interest income due to sale of Net interest income 88.2 45.2 (43.0) legacy non-Agencies and higher coupon Servicing income, net of amortization on Agencies in Q1 MSR 55.2 51.0 (4.2) ◦Lower LIBOR on payer swaps before Gain (loss) on swaps and swaptions (12.6) (56.3) (43.7) termination Gain on other derivatives 5.3 11.9 6.6 ◦Increase in servicing costs from loan forbearances offset by lower Other 0.1 0.1 — management fee and other operating Total other income 48.0 6.7 (41.3) expenses Expenses 47.0 46.8 0.2 Provision for income taxes 2.6 0.6 2.0 Core Earnings(1) 86.6 4.5 (82.1) • Third quarter 2020 Core Earnings outlook Dividends on preferred stock 19.0 19.0 — ◦Anticipate $0.22-$0.26 per weighted average basic common share, driven by Core Earnings attributable to common (1) restriking our swap portfolio stockholders $ 67.6 $ (14.5) $ (82.1) Basic weighted average Core EPS $ 0.25 $ (0.05) Core Earnings annualized return on average common equity 7.3 % (3.1) % 7 (1) Core Earnings is a non-GAAP measure. Please see Appendix slide 23 for a definition of Core Earnings and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial information.


 
Performance Summary EXPECT ONGOING PORTFOLIO EARNINGS POWER TO BE IN LINE WITH CURRENT DIVIDEND LEVEL • Lower portfolio yield driven by: (1) sale of non-Agencies and higher coupon Agencies in Q1; and (2) elevated swap costs due to high fixed rate payer position and falling LIBOR • June 30 as-of yield dramatically improved due to: ◦Swap re-striking late in the second quarter at current market rates ◦Repo rolls at favorable terms • Core Earnings and portfolio yields could exceed expected returns on portfolio Realized As of March 31, Realized As of June 30, Q1-2020 2020(1) Q2-2020 2020(1) Annualized portfolio yield(2) 3.52 % 3.42 % 2.84 % 3.09 % Annualized cost of funds(3) 2.39 % 3.23 % 2.61 % 0.86 % Annualized net yield for aggregate portfolio 1.13 % 0.19 % 0.23 % 2.24 % (1) Represents those on the portfolio held as of March 31, 2020 and June 30, 2020, respectively, and projected over the remaining life of the investments. Assumes a static portfolio and, as a result, does not represent a projection of future yields. (2) Includes interest income on RMBS and servicing income net of servicing expenses and amortization on MSR. 8 (3) Cost of funds includes interest spread income/expense associated with the portfolio’s interest rate swaps and caps.


 
Financing Profile ECONOMIC DEBT-TO-EQUITY(1) • 7.4x at June 30, 2020, compared to 7.0x at March 31, 2020 • Average leverage of 6.8x in the second quarter DIVERSE FINANCING PROFILE AGENCY RMBS • Outstanding repurchase agreements of $17.0 billion with 20 counterparties • Repo markets have been stable and term markets have redeveloped MORTGAGE SERVICING RIGHTS • Outstanding borrowings of $267.2 million under bilateral MSR financing facilities • $400 million of outstanding 5-year MSR term notes(2) • Committed total capacity of $750 million under MSR financing alternatives POST QUARTER-END • Closed $100 million MSR financing facility • In final stages of closing one servicing advance-only facility and working sequentially on another facility that finances both MSR assets and servicing advances 9 (1) Defined as total borrowings to fund RMBS, MSR and Agency Derivatives, plus the implied debt on net TBA positions, divided by total equity. (2) Excludes deferred debt issuance costs.


 
Special Topic: Taxable Income 2020 TAXABLE INCOME “CONSTRUCTIVE” CONSIDERATIONS RETURN OF CAPITAL • RMBS sales resulted in a net capital • Return of capital is a tax concept, not an economic concept loss of $1.4 billion; may be utilized over the next 5 years • Tax characterization of the dividend tells little about whether distributions are supported by Core Earnings or economic returns due to differences in • Termination of swaps designated as income recognition rules debt hedges resulted in net ordinary losses of $0.7 billion; may be • Return of capital distributions can be “constructive” to stockholders, as they utilized in future years subject to are not subject to current tax and create the potential advantage of deferring certain limitations, and does not tax until sale at long-term capital gains rates expire • Tax characterization of distributions in future years may result in return of • REIT is anticipated to generate a net capital to stockholders; the characterization is determined based on the operating loss for the year and REIT’s future earnings and profits, which takes into consideration taxable distributions to common income and utilization of prior year losses based on complex tax rules stockholders are likely to be treated as return of capital for tax characterization purposes COMMON STOCK DIVIDEND CONSIDERATIONS • Function of several factors including sustainability, earnings power of the portfolio, taxable income/REIT distribution requirements and market conditions • Expect Q3 and Q4 dividends will be sustainable at current level before giving effect to expense savings we anticipate in Q4 from our transition to self-management, subject to the discretion and approval of our Board of Directors and market conditions 10


 
Quarterly Activity and Portfolio Composition Q2-2020 PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION(1) PERFORMANCE COMMENTARY (3) $22.4 billion portfolio as of June 30, 2020 • Return on book value of 6.8% excluding the previously anticipated one-time costs associated with terminating the Includes $19.0 billion settled positions management agreement • Net of TBA spread widening in 3% through 4.5% coupons, gross returns from pool and TBA performance was approximately 13%(4) MSR (4) $1.3 billion • MSR contributed negatively by approximately 4% , as higher servicing costs and faster prepayments impacted pricing • Expenses and other items amounted to (2%)(4) Net TBA Position $3.4 billion(2) Agency $17.7 billion PORTFOLIO ACTIVITY • Added $1.5 billion in current coupon TBAs as our confidence increased in our liquidity position • Purchased approximately $2.1 billion of low coupon specified pools and sold approximately $1.4 billion of high coupon specified pools • Added $4.1 billion in MSR through flow-sale arrangements (1) For additional detail on the portfolio, see Appendix slides 24-26. (2) Represents bond equivalent value of TBA position. Bond equivalent value is defined as notional amount multiplied by market price. Accounted for as derivative instruments in accordance with GAAP. 11 (3) Return on book value is defined as the increase (decrease) in book value per common share from the beginning to the end of the given period, plus dividends declared in the period, divided by book value as of the beginning of the period. (4) Represents estimated book value impact by asset class. Attribution is based on results with inputs from our internal investment professionals.


 
Specified Pools SPECIFIED POOL PERFORMANCE SPECIFIED POOLS AS OF 6/30/2020 • Despite TBA underperformance in the belly coupons, specified performance was significant and overwhelmed TBA performance FICO, Generic, • Drivers of specified pool performance included the Fed’s Seasoned, Other Loan Balance 68.5% large intervention in the RMBS market, the recovery of the 0.4% repo market and general improvement in price stability in Q2 LTV • Specified pool prepayment speeds continue to be slower and 0.6% more stable than TBA speeds Geography 30.5% • Expect that while prepayments will rise in specified pools; increases will be modest compared to generic collateral QUARTERLY PERFORMANCE(1) SPECIFIED POOL PREPAYMENT SPEEDS(2) 12 (1) J.P. Morgan data query, as of June 30, 2020. (2) Non-specified pool speeds from J.P. Morgan Data Query, as of June 30, 2020.


 
Mortgage Servicing Rights MSR PORTFOLIO ACTIVITY MSR PORTFOLIO AS OF 6/30/2020 • Resumed MSR flow-sale program with all sellers • Added $4.1 billion UPB through MSR flow-sale arrangements As of June 30, 2020 during the quarter Fair value ($ millions) $ 1,279.2 ◦ Added approximately $4.5 billion UPB of MSR flow UPB ($ millions) $ 163,493.6 commitments in July Gross weighted average coupon rate 4.0 % Weighted average original FICO(1) 754 • Our MSR speeds are somewhat slower than generic speeds Weighted average original loan-to-value (LTV) 75 % because a majority of our portfolio has some form of 60+ day delinquencies 3.9 % seasoning or prepayment protection Net servicing fee (basis points) 27.3 Weighted average loan age (months) 39 % Fannie Mae 67 % FLOW PROGRAM ACTIVITY(2) MSR PREPAYMENT SPEEDS(3) 13 (1) FICO represents a mortgage industry accepted credit score of a borrower. (2) As of July 31, 2020. (3) Two Harbors portfolio and J.P. Morgan Data Query, as of June 30, 2020.


 
Special Topic: MSR Forbearance and Liquidity(1) FORBEARANCE COMMENTARY CURRENT FORBEARANCE EXPERIENCE • Forbearance rates peaked on June 1, 2020 at approximately 7.2% of borrowers by loan count • As of July 28, 2020, approximately 5.8% of loan count in forbearance • As of July 28, 2020, approximately 4.0% of loan count was both in forbearance and not making payments • More borrowers exiting than entering forbearance LIQUIDITY COMMENTARY LIQUIDITY PROJECTION • Despite delinquent forbearant loans at approximately 4.0% as of July 28, 2020, we show 8%, 12% and 16% forbearance scenarios • Liquidity projection includes impact of the use of anticipated funding facilities, excludes expected future capital deployment and assumes no payment for the termination of the management contract • Expect to deploy capital in coming quarters; likely to reduce these projected amounts by approximately $200 to $300 million (1) The above forbearance and liquidity projections are provided for illustration purposes only and are not necessarily indicative of Two Harbors’ financial condition and 14 operating results, nor are these projections necessarily indicative of the financial condition or results of operations that may be expected for any future period or date. These scenarios include as assumptions: prepay speeds start at 25 CPR and ramp down to 10 CPR over 4 months; P&I advancing stops after 4 months, and is reimbursed at loan resolution, assumed to be 15 months from now; interim T&I reimbursement for Fannie. Based on model assumptions as of July 30, 2020.


 
Special Topic: Repo Markets • Over the course of Q2, Fed purchases in overnight and term repo markets fell close to zero • Repo rates have settled in to much lower levels since spiking in March • Recent data presents picture of healthier funding environment and a free-standing market without support of the Federal Reserve FED HISTORICAL PURCHASES(1) REPO RATES(2) $ in billions in $ 15 (1) Wrightson ICAP data and data from the Federal Reserve, as of July 21, 2020. (2) Two Harbors internally-sourced data, as of July 10, 2020.


 
Effective Coupon Positioning EFFECTIVE COUPON POSITIONING(1) Cash pools/TBA MSR Net COMMENTARY • Today, MSR has similar risks to a short position in 1.5% and 2.0% coupons • Long 2.5% though 5.0% coupons • Subsequent to quarter-end, rotating down in coupon and outright adding to FNCL 2.0 coupon 16 (1) The effective coupon positioning for MSR is an internally calculated exposure that represents the current coupon equivalents of our MSR assets. Data as of June 30, 2020.


 
Risk Positioning COMMON BV EXPOSURE TO CHANGES IN RATES(1) COMMON BV EXPOSURE TO CHANGES IN SPREADS(3) RMBS MSR All Hedges(2) Combined Agency RMBS MSR Combined COMMENTARY • Exposure to both rates and spreads remains low, in line with historical positioning • In a 25 basis point parallel shift up in rates, potential book value increase of 0.6% ◦ MSR position has more negative duration than RMBS position • In a 25 basis point spread widening, potential book value decrease of (1.4%) ◦ MSR position provides significant spread hedging benefits, reducing overall exposure by ~70% Note: Sensitivity data as of June 30, 2020. The above spread scenario is provided for illustration purposes only and is not necessarily indicative of Two Harbors’ financial condition and operating results, nor is it necessarily indicative of the financial condition or results of operations that may be expected for any future period or date. (1) Represents estimated change in common book value for theoretical parallel shift in interest rates. 17 (2) All hedges includes derivative assets and liabilities and all borrowings. All Hedges excludes Agency derivatives, which are included in the RMBS category. (3) The information presented in this chart projects the potential impact on common book value of instantaneous changes in current coupon mortgage spreads. Spread sensitivity is based on results from third party models in conjunction with inputs from our internal investment professionals. Actual results could differ materially from these estimates.


 
Outlook - Return Expectations OPPORTUNITY SET IN OUR TARGET ASSETS REMAINS ATTRACTIVE TODAY • Estimate returns for Agency RMBS/swaps in high-single to low-double digits • Estimate returns for Agency RMBS / flow MSR in low-to-mid double digits • Advancing obligations from forbearances have turned out to be very manageable • Liquidity profile strong with $1.6 billion in unrestricted cash as of June 30, 2020 • Intend to prudently deploy additional capital in the coming quarters • Anticipate increasing leverage in second half of 2020 in the 8-9x range 18


 
Appendix 19


 
Financial Performance COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS) QUARTERLY RETURN ON BOOK VALUE(1) DIVIDEND YIELD(2) BOOK VALUE AND DIVIDEND PER COMMON SHARE(2) 20 (1) Return on book value is defined as the increase (decrease) in book value per common share from the beginning to the end of the given period, plus dividends declared in the period, divided by the book value as of the beginning of the period. (2) Historical dividends may not be indicative of future dividend distributions. The company ultimately distributes dividends based on its taxable income per common share, not GAAP earnings. The annualized dividend yield on the company’s common stock is calculated based on the closing price of the last trading day of the relevant quarter.


 
Q2-2020 Operating Performance Q2-2020 Realized Gains (In millions, except for per common share data) Core Earnings(1) (Losses) Unrealized MTM Total Interest income $ 107.3 $ — $ — $ 107.3 Interest expense 62.1 — — 62.1 Net interest income 45.2 — — 45.2 (Gain) loss on investment securities — 53.6 (0.1) 53.5 Servicing income 112.9 — — 112.9 Loss on servicing asset (61.9) (0.9) (176.0) (238.8) (Loss) gain on interest rate swaps and swaptions (56.3) (747.1) 756.5 (46.9) Gain (loss) on other derivative instruments 11.9 (34.2) 98.9 76.6 Other income 0.1 — — 0.1 Total other income (loss) 6.7 (728.6) 679.3 (42.6) Management fees & other expenses 46.8 147.5 — 194.3 Net income (loss) before income taxes 5.1 (876.1) 679.3 (191.7) Income tax expense (benefit) 0.6 (0.1) (18.7) (18.2) Net income (loss) 4.5 (876.0) 698.0 (173.5) Dividends on preferred stock 19.0 — — 19.0 Net (loss) income attributable to common stockholders $ (14.5) $ (876.0) $ 698.0 $ (192.5) Weighted average (loss) earnings per basic common share $ (0.05) $ (3.20) $ 2.55 $ (0.70) (1) Core Earnings is a non-GAAP measure. Please see Appendix slide 23 of this presentation for a definition of Core Earnings and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP 21 financial information.


 
Q1-2020 Operating Performance Q1-2020 Realized Gains (In millions, except for per common share data) Core Earnings(1) (Losses) Unrealized MTM Total Interest income $ 255.5 $ — $ — $ 255.5 Interest expense 167.3 — — 167.3 Net interest income 88.2 — — 88.2 Loss on investment securities — (1,080.7) (0.9) (1,081.6) Servicing income 130.8 — — 130.8 Loss on servicing asset (75.6) (3.4) (507.6) (586.6) (Loss) gain on interest rate swaps and swaptions (12.6) 361.8 (599.8) (250.6) Gain (loss) on other derivative instruments 5.3 (70.7) (68.1) (133.5) Other income 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.8 Total other income (loss) 48.0 (792.9) (1,175.8) (1,920.7) Management fees & other expenses 47.0 3.3 — 50.3 Net income (loss) before income taxes 89.2 (796.2) (1,175.8) (1,882.8) Income tax expense (benefit) 2.6 85.4 (101.2) (13.2) Net income (loss) 86.6 (881.6) (1,074.6) (1,869.6) Dividends on preferred stock 19.0 — — 19.0 Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders $ 67.6 $ (881.6) $ (1,074.6) $ (1,888.6) Weighted average earnings (loss) per basic common share $ 0.25 $ (3.22) $ (3.94) $ (6.91) (1) Core Earnings is a non-GAAP measure. Please see Appendix slide 23 of this presentation for a definition of Core Earnings and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP 22 financial information.


 
GAAP to Core Earnings Reconciliation(1) Reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP Information Three Months Ended Three Months Ended (In thousands, except for per common share data) March 31, 2020 June 30, 2020 Reconciliation of Comprehensive income (loss) to Core Earnings: Comprehensive (loss) income attributable to common stockholders $ (2,086,676) $ 279 Adjustment for other comprehensive loss (income) attributable to common stockholders: Unrealized loss (gain) on available-for-sale securities 198,070 (192,794) Net loss attributable to common stockholders $ (1,888,606) $ (192,515) Adjustments for non-core earnings: Realized loss (gain) on securities 1,035,038 (54,795) Unrealized loss on securities 931 110 Provision for credit losses 45,638 1,193 Realized and unrealized loss on mortgage servicing rights 511,059 176,916 Realized (gain) loss on termination or expiration of swaps and swaptions (361,853) 747,055 Unrealized loss (gain) on interest rate swaps, caps and swaptions 599,834 (756,464) Loss (gain) on other derivative instruments 138,819 (64,744) Other (income) loss (735) 61 Change in servicing reserves 232 39 Non-cash equity compensation expense 2,315 2,398 Restructuring charges 719 145,069 Net benefit from income taxes on non-Core Earnings (15,774) (18,814) Core Earnings attributable to common stockholders(1) $ 67,617 $ (14,491) Weighted average basic common shares 273,392,615 273,604,079 Core Earnings per weighted average basic common share 0.25 (0.05) (1) Core Earnings is a non-U.S. GAAP measure that we define as comprehensive income (loss) attributable to common stockholders, excluding “realized and unrealized gains and losses” (impairment losses, provision for credit losses, realized and unrealized gains and losses on the aggregate portfolio, reserve expense for representation and warranty obligations on MSR, non-cash compensation expense related to restricted common stock and restructuring charges). As defined, Core Earnings includes net interest income, accrual and settlement of interest on derivatives, dollar roll income on TBAs, servicing income, net of estimated amortization on MSR, management fees and recurring cash related operating expenses. Dollar roll income 23 is the economic equivalent to holding and financing Agency RMBS using short-term repurchase agreements. Core Earnings provides supplemental information to assist investors in analyzing the Company’s results of operations and helps facilitate comparisons to industry peers.


 
Portfolio Metrics AGENCY RMBS CPR(1) AGENCY PORTFOLIO COMPOSITION IO & Inverse IO Other P&I(2) 1.1% 30-Year Fixed 0.7% 5% & above 4.0% 30-Year Fixed < 2.5% 11.8% 30-Year Fixed 4.0% 25.8% 30-Year Fixed 4.5% 17.5% MSR CPR 30-Year Fixed 30-Year Fixed 3.5% 3.0% 23.5% 15.6% 24 (1) Agency weighted average 3-month Constant Prepayment Rate (CPR) includes IIOs (or Agency Derivatives). (2) Includes 15-year fixed, Hybrid ARMs, CMO and DUS pools.


 
Agency RMBS Portfolio Weighted Par Value ($ Market Value Weighted % Prepay Amortized Cost Gross Weighted Average Age As of June 30, 2020 millions) ($ millions) Average CPR Protected(1) Basis ($ millions) Average Coupon (Months) 30-Year fixed 2.5% & below $ 1,980 $ 2,092 1.3 % 91.1 % $ 2,079 2.5 % 2 3.0% 2,585 2,769 7.8 % 100.0 % 2,667 3.0 % 8 3.5% 3,833 4,164 15.9 % 100.0 % 4,017 3.5 % 11 4.0% 4,162 4,560 29.7 % 100.0 % 4,336 4.0 % 31 4.5% 2,797 3,107 30.2 % 100.0 % 2,949 4.5 % 29 ≥ 5.0% 634 713 27.5 % 98.6 % 673 5.2 % 56 15,991 17,405 20.0 % 98.9 % 16,721 3.7 % 20 Other P&I(2) 110 127 11.6 % — % 122 6.4 % 219 IOs and IIOs(3) 2,706 190 13.4 % — % 200 3.8 % 142 Total Agency RMBS $ 18,807 $ 17,722 97.1 % $ 17,043 Bond Equivalent Notional Amount Value ($ As of June 30, 2020 ($ millions) millions)(4) Implied CPR(5) TBA Positions 2.5% & below $ 3,589 $ 3,736 21.5 % 3.0% — — 38.5 % 3.5% (1,753) (1,844) 56.6 % 4.0% (550) (583) 56.2 % 4.5% — — 50.2 % 5.0% 1,950 2,130 46.3 % Net TBA position $ 3,236 $ 3,439 (1) Includes securities with implicit or explicit protection including lower loan balances (securities collateralized by loans less than or equal to $200K of initial principal balance), higher LTVs (securities collateralized by loans with greater than or equal to 80% LTV), certain geographic concentrations and lower FICO scores. (2) Includes 15-year fixed, Hybrid ARMs, CMO and DUS pools. 25 (3) Represents market value of $118.2 million of IOs and $72.2 million of Agency Derivatives. (4) Bond equivalent value is defined as the notional amount multiplied by market price. Accounted for as derivative instruments in accordance with GAAP. (5) Implied TBA speeds from J.P. Morgan Data Query.


 
Mortgage Servicing Rights Portfolio(1) Gross Weighted Weighted Weighted Unpaid Average Average Average Weighted Number of Principal % Fannie Coupon Loan Age Original Average 60+ Day 3-Month Net Servicing Loans Balance Fair Value Mae Rate (months) FICO(2) Original LTV Delinquencies CPR Fee (bps) 30-Year Fixed < 3.75% 118,222 $ 31,602 $ 254 69% 3.5% 41 770 71% 2.1% 24.3% 26.8 3.75% - 4.25% 233,205 56,231 440 64 % 3.9 % 41 759 76 % 3.3 % 33.9 % 27.6 4.25% - 4.75% 167,803 35,786 278 65 % 4.4 % 39 744 79 % 5.2 % 45.3 % 26.7 4.75% - 5.25% 80,401 15,606 129 66 % 4.9 % 32 730 80 % 7.1 % 46.3 % 27.9 > 5.25% 30,831 5,044 43 70 % 5.5 % 30 708 80 % 9.2 % 37.7 % 30.9 630,462 144,269 1,144 66 % 4.1 % 39 753 76 % 4.2 % 37.0 % 27.3 15-Year Fixed < 2.75% 2,527 511 3 78 % 2.6 % 43 777 60 % 1.0 % 11.1 % 26.1 2.75% - 3.25% 41,423 7,290 50 76 % 3.0 % 45 772 62 % 1.6 % 15.4 % 26.0 3.25% - 3.75% 39,688 6,122 44 72 % 3.4 % 41 760 65 % 2.5 % 23.4 % 27.8 3.75% - 4.25% 20,075 2,686 20 63 % 3.9 % 36 746 66 % 3.3 % 80.8 % 29.5 > 4.25% 10,689 1,227 10 62 % 4.5 % 28 733 66 % 3.1 % 33.1 % 31.4 114,402 17,836 127 72 % 3.3 % 41 761 64 % 2.3 % 22.0 % 27.5 Total ARMs 5,539 1,388 8 67 % 3.6 % 48 762 66 % 3.9 % 45.4 % 25.2 Total Portfolio 750,403 163,493 1,279 67 % 4.0 % 39 754 75 % 3.9 % 35.6 % 27.3 26 (1) Excludes residential mortgage loans for which the company is the named servicing administrator. (2) FICO represents a mortgage industry accepted credit score of a borrower.


 
Financing $ in millions Repurchase Revolving Credit Total Outstanding Outstanding Borrowings and Maturities(1) Agreements Facilities Term Notes Payable Convertible Notes Borrowings Percent (%) Within 30 days $ 6,071.0 $ — $ — $ — $ 6,071.0 33.8 % 30 to 59 days 5,022.9 — — — 5,022.9 28.0 % 60 to 89 days 4,424.9 — — — 4,424.9 24.7 % 90 to 119 days — — — — — — % 120 to 364 days 1,472.5 267.2 — — 1,739.7 9.7 % One to three years — — — 285.5 285.5 1.6 % Three to five years — — 395.0 — 395.0 2.2 % $ 16,991.3 $ 267.2 $ 395.0 $ 285.5 $ 17,939.0 100.0 % Repurchase Revolving Credit Total Collateral Collateral Pledged for Borrowings Agreements(2) Facilities(2) Term Notes Payable Convertible Notes Pledged Percent (%) Available-for-sale securities, at fair value 17,300.7 $ — $ — n/a $ 17,300.7 93.3 % Derivative assets, at fair value 72.1 — — n/a 72.1 0.4 % Mortgage servicing rights, at fair value 151.6 392.1 621.6 n/a 1,165.3 6.3 % $ 17,524.4 $ 392.1 $ 621.6 n/a $ 18,538.1 100.0 % (1) Weighted average of 3.0 months to maturity. 27 (2) Repurchase agreements and/or revolving credit facilities secured by MSR may be over-collateralized due to operational considerations.


 
Interest Rate Swaps INTEREST RATE SWAPS Average Maturity Maturities Notional Amounts ($B) Average Fixed Pay Rate Average Receive Rate Years Payers 2023 $ 2.3 0.023 % 0.080 % 3.0 2024 and after 1.5 0.257 % 0.080 % 7.0 $ 3.8 0.116 % 0.080 % 4.6 Average Fixed Receive Average Maturity Maturities Notional Amounts ($B) Average Pay Rate Rate (Years) Receivers 2024 and after $ 0.7 0.080 % 0.419 % 9.8 $ 0.7 0.080 % 0.419 % 9.8 28


 


 

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